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Opinion polls in the USA - reflecting as to what happened in 2016 and what is th forecast for 2020

Forum » Beenos Trumpet » Opinion polls in the USA - reflecting as to what happened in 2016 and what is th forecast for 2020

Apr 03, 2019, 13:43

I looked at what happened in the 2016 election compared to the forecast made by a company PPP.D made in respect of the 2020 presidential election:-


Minnesota

Clinton +7.9

10

93%

Virginia

Clinton +6.5

13

95%

Colorado

Clinton +4.8

9

88%

Pennsylvania

Clinton +4.1

20

89%

Wisconsin

Clinton +4.1

10

93%

New Hampshire

Clinton +3.1

4

80%

Michigan

Clinton +2.4

16

93%

North Carolina

Clinton +2.3

15

64% Clinton

Florida

Clinton +2.2

29

67%

Nevada

Clinton +2.1

6

68%

Ohio

Trump +1.9

18

53% Trump

Arizona

Trump +2.2

11

83%

Georgia

Trump +2.9

16

82%

Iowa

Trump +3.5

6

62% Trump

Missouri

Trump +8.1

10

9

 

He fact is that the situation was in fact as follows:-

Minnesota                   Clinton       1,5       out     6,4

Virginia                        Clinton        5,4       out     1,2

Colorado                     Clinton        4,9      

Pennsylvania              Trump         4,1 Cl   out     4,8

Wisconsin                   Trump         4,1 Cl    out    4.8

New Hampshire         Clinton        3,1       out     2,8

Michigan                     Trump         2,4 Cl   out     2,7

North Carolina           Trump         2,3 Cl   out    5.9

Florida                     Trump           2,2 Cl   out   3,4

Ohio                         Trump           1,9        out  6,2 

Arizona                    Trump           2,2       out   1,3

Georgia                    Trump          2,9       out    2,2

Iowa                         Trump           9,4      out    5,9

Missouri                  Trump         18,5      out  10,4       

It seems from the above that there was a clear campaign in the 14 of he 15 states to discredit and understate the Trump support  and  

*     in five  states that the pollsters  claimed would be won by Clinton

*     underestimates the trump support by between  1.3  and 10,4; with

*     an average of  3,9%  in respect of the above 15 states    

There are allegations  that some pollsters are more interested in getting people believe candidates of their choice win in elections  and they have a real method to use polls for own political purposes and  is aimed at making minority voters stay away from voting since their voting would be fruitless,

Have the polls for the 2020 in any event changed?  The latest polls suggested that they are still doing the same, but with ever-larger percentages.   According to PPP.D  the various candidates  of the DP would win by the following percentages:-

  Biden        :        +    13

  Sanders    ;        +      8

  Harris       :         +      7

  O’Rourke  :        +     6

  Warren     :        +     6

  Brooke      :        +     7

  Buttigieg   :        +     4

Who or what  is  PPP.D ?   They were  on average 15% out in the 2016 elections polls and apparently are still doing the same in their campaign iro the 2020 election.               

            


Apr 04, 2019, 15:04

Mike please note that the trick these left wing fake polls use is to get closer to the truth a day or two be fore the elections so when people look back they see they were closer to the actual than what they had be sprouting all the months before the election.

Then you get aggregation of Polls whereby you get the fake left wing polls bringing down the average.

Before the 2016 election i posted various social media" polls" which showed Trump would win.

Had it not been for illegals , dead men and double voting by demonrats voting Trump would have won by an even bigger margin. The only hope the demonrats have for 2020 is importing enough illegals and getting them drivers licences etc to allow them to vote. The Podesta emails showed they were encouraging demonrats companies to give out payslips so the illegals could vote. Then we had Hussein Obozo openly encouraging illegals to vote. Demonrats oppose every attempt to ensure only American citizens vote.



 
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