The Wall Street Journal, has reproduced CDC data on excess deaths showing the effects of Covid. The net effect is equivalent to 0.7% reduction in life expectancy for white males, but a staggering 3 year reduction in life expectancy for Blacks, were Covid to continue at it’s 2020 rate.
These numbers show the effect of urbanization and obesity on mortality, because Blacks are disadvantaged disproportionately by both factors.
They also suggest that absent an intervention herd immunity was not going to be achieved without a lot more deaths. The poorer communities are simply incapable of protecting the vulnerable.
An infectious disease with no prior exposure rips through societies....look at At Play In The Fields Of Our Lord, for a graphic example.
Our infectious disease people horribly failed their first big test since the Spanish flu. Starting with ludicrously high death rate estimates, when the ‘semi controlled’ experiment of the Royal Princess clearly showed otherwise. Promoting useless drugs like Remdesivir and panning other remedies that had better data. And pretending masks are a panacea, when no controlled study has shown this....and now reversing course on masks in the USA even though Covid is not done.
The only thing that has worked is vaccination...as you can clearly see in the data for Israel, the UK and the US. Here the real scientists buried in companies like J&J have found a way to protect against this disease. But there is always the risk of new cases generating a really dangerous variant. So it’s a race against time. We need to get the world fully vaccinated.