There is no way that Carlos Alcaraz will retain his number 1 ranking after the US Open. He will lose 2000 points he gained in 2022 by winning he tournament. Even by winning the US Open he will return to the ranking points he has at present, while Djokovic will lose no points and can only gain points by winning matches in 2023. since he did not play last year in the US Open. .
I became aware of the good prospects of Ben Shelton as to a youngster expected to become of the stars of the future. He was very disappointing in the tournaments thus far and when I saw him play yesterday he was really way better than his inform opponent Tommy Paul. Maybe it as more of an adjustment problem to European clay court and grass courts that did not show how good he really is - but yesterday he showed real star potential.
The quarterfinals looks very interesting. In this case there is only ranked players left in the quarterfinals and my comments are as follows:-
Top Half of the Draw
The fact is that Zverev has moved up into the Top 10 ranking and h woud like to consolidate his position by beating Alcaraz in the quarterfinals. His chances are small - I would say 20% at best.
Medvedev is also the firm favorite to beat Rublev in the other quarterfinal. Rublev would battle on - if he wins this quarterfinal he would move up from 6 to the number 4 ranking on Monday. He will also solidify his number 5 ranking in the race to Turyn.
Although there will be some real battles I think that the semi-final will be between Alcaraz and Medvedev.
Bottom Half of the Draw
Not so sure about the outcome of the matches in this part of the Draw. Djokovic played no matches against seeded players thus far and he coms up against his first seeded player against Fritz in this half of the Draw. I would have made Djokovic the firm favorite to win in this match - but bearing in mind his questionable performance against the unseeded Djere - not even the second ranked player in Serbia - I think the outcome will be a toss-up. The other part will be the crowd support that would favor Fritz heavily.
The other two Americans still in contention are Tiafoe and the newly ranked Shelton - who move up from number 47 in the world rankings to number 27. A Shelton win would move him further up to number 20 in the rankings. That would confirm the latter's upward mobility in the rankings. Although the bookmakers make Tiafoe the favorite to win the quarterfnal I think that this match is also a toss-up.
Duplicate
To the top with this one. There are no ATP tournaments played this week and two APT 250 tournaments next week played in China. Depending whoa re playing in those two tournaments I may not deal with the updating of this thread before 30 September 2023.
I may just use this thead to update he results next week and nto start a nedw hread about next week - but that depends on who is playing in the tournaments ne week. If any Top 20 players play in the two China torunaments I amy change my mind on that issue.
These rankings will be updated once the two tournaments at present on the go has been finalized tomorrow. and then the real competition will restart with a number of matches strating next week. with the APT 500 China Open and APT250 Astana Open next week.
That is followed by the Shangai Masters tiournament in the following week. After thjat there are a number of torunaments to be completed by early November 2023 to be completed by mid-Nov ember 2023 followed by a tournament break in late November - with the Australian season srtarting on 1 January 2024. .
clevermike
Hall Of Fame
53555 posts
August 2023 10 September 2023
1 Novak Djokovic 9795 11795
2 Carlos Alcaraz 9815 8535
3 Danill Medvedev 6170 7280
4 Holger Rune 4790 4710
5 Stefanos Tsitsipas 4580 4615
6 Andrey Rublev 4515 4515
7 Jannik Sinner 4645 4465
8 Taylor Fritz 3605 3755
9 Casper Ruud 4715 3560
10 Alexander Zverev 2670 3030 *
11 Frances Tiafoe 3050 2690
12 Tommy Paul 2570 2660
13 Alex de Minaur 2595 2595
14 Felix Auger-Aliassime 2375 2340
15 Karen Khachanov 2855 2135 *
16 Hubert Hurkacz 2035 2035
17 Cameron Norrie 2075 1985
18 Lorenzo Musetti 2005 1970
20 Grigor Dimitrov 1690 1800
20 Ben Shelton 1015 1735
21 Franscisco Cerundolo 1600 1635
22 Nicolas Jarry 1439 1494
23 Jan-Lennard Struff 1461 1494
24 Tallon Griekspoor 1440 1446
25 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1525 1435
The top 2 candidates qualifying to play in this tournament is Alcaraz and Rune - but they are likely to play in Torino and will not play in this tournament. So the top 10 players qualifying for this tournament will be the following to date, but some of the players may play in minor tournaments next week which may require updating:-
1 Ben Shelton 1415
2 Lorenzo Musetti 1300 *
3 Arthur Fils 953
4 Luca van Assche 597
5 Dominic Stricker 576
6 Alex Michelsen 518
7 Hamad Medjedovic 485
8 Arthur Casaux 455 *
9 Flavio Cobolli 430 *
10 Terrence Atmane 376