Going forward . . .

Forum » Rugby » Going forward . . .

Jul 10, 2024, 15:02

If it was me, I'd start a transformation process for the 2024 Rugby Championship. (By transformation I mean the word "transformation" in its normal sense, not the bullshit word used to describe racism in SA sport . . . but more on that later.


Rassie has picked his RWC team for the series against Ireland and I can accept that, I think he's making a statement here and so far he's proving it, but there must be some rebuilding and it must come soon.

So - again - if it was me, the team/squad I'd pick for the upcoming Rugby Championship is as follows:

15 Aphelele Fassi (Willie won't be at next RWC. Fassi is a dangerous runner, brilliant in the air and he's a black African)
14 Cheslin Kolbe (No brainer)
13 Lukhanyo Am (No brainer. Jesse Kriel can be a very able backup for now)
12 Damian Willemse (Maybe not his absolute best position this is where I would use him. It's time to move on from DDA and the baggage he brings. AE on the bench or in the squad for cover)
11 Kurt Lee Arendse (No brainer . . . but Edwill definitely showed he can fill in for this jersey)
10 Sacha FM (Worth an investment I think. He looks the goods. Pollard would be good option to have off the bench)
9 Faf de Klerk (Thought about starting Grant Williams but will stick with Faf for continuity)
8 Evan Roos (If the Roos-bashers out there would prefer Cameron Hanekom I won't complain too loudly) Both excellent prospects)
7 PSdT (Should still be good for next RWC. Back him up with Elrigh Louw or any number of excellent flank options we have available)
6 Siya Kolisi (C) (Not going to spend too much time justifying this. As much as I'd love to give this jersey to Evan Roos and retread him as a fetcher - and make room for Hanekom at #8 - Siya may not be the ideal openside flanker but he makes up for that with the sense of national unity he inspires. Case closed)
5 RG Snyman (It's time)
4 Eben Etzebeth (May not be at next RWC but I'll play him as long as I have him)
3 Vincent Koch (Or Wilco Louw. Don't mind which one starts)
2 Bongi Mbonambi (Marx could start but Bongi's throwing still better. Plenty good young hookers coming through to challenge these two)
1 Ox Nche (No brainer)

16 Malcolm Marx
17 Gerhard Steenekamp
18 Wilco Louw
19 Jason Jenkins (Tough choice. Plenty of other candidates with a case)
20 Cameron Hanekom (If fit, otherwise any one of Elrigh Louw, Ben-Jason Dixon, a Du Preez twin or a Tsituka brother)
21 Grant Williams
22 Handre Pollard
23 Canan Moodie

My extended squad would include Willie le Roux, Edwill van der Merwe, Jesse Kriel, Siya Masuku, Krappies van den Berg and a wide choice of excellent forwards, some of whom I mentioned above.



Jul 10, 2024, 15:16

Good to see you making an in depth rugby post Rooi.

...and I agree on almost all your points.

Even on RG, maybe, I dunno...but don't tell Dave that :):):)

Jul 10, 2024, 17:04

Transitioning from a great team to a dynasty is very difficult. Some teams do this aggressively, inevitably losing the core of what they had. Others wait too long so the same kind of ‘the whole team must go’ imperative  gets forced on them. 

Dynasties, like Real Madrid, seem to be in the mode of constant but small changes. The trigger mechanism is the key…..equivalent performance but different trajectories perhaps.

Bok players who are clearly on a downward trajectory include Willie, possibly Am, Mapimpi, Dud Allende, possibly Faf, Malherbe, possibly Kolisi, and Vermeulen (already retired).

So that’s the obvious list. But not all at once. Make 2 replacements and the sense of team and its functioning won’t be disrupted. Change 5 players and the team is disrupted.

Jul 10, 2024, 17:38

As expected from, Rooinek going backwards is his choice as well.    He wants fringe players who at the age of 33 like Esterhuizen to be in consideration for the WC.  He is not good enough at present - what will make him better in 2027?

Kolisi is already 33 years old and will be 36 in 2027.   Faf de Klerk will be 35 when the next WC comes around.

Koch (33 years old) and Louw (32 yeas old)  in 2027;

Bongi 36 years old in 2027'

Rooinek calls  it transformation  - it clearly is in the Meyer and Coetzee style retrogression.   With that approach  we will not reach the play-off stage in the 2027  WC.

                      

Jul 10, 2024, 20:05

Kolbe 33, AM 33, AE 33, Pollard 33, Jessica 33, Marx 32 and Snyman 32 can maybe still make it, depending on there physical Condition at that stage…Wilco off Course at 32 is our prime Candidate at 3, with ox or the Tank Thomas at loose head…..the rest of the older core mentioned here, is pushing grandpa status in Rugby terms and should not be considered!!….that would just be farming backwards given our new Form Young guns coming thru…..I sincerely hope that Tassels builds mostly new!!!

Jul 10, 2024, 20:52

I’m sure you have mixed 12 and 13 up.

Surely you want Am at 12 and Willemse at 13?

Jul 10, 2024, 21:11

"Surely you want Am at 12 and Willemse at 13?"


Que?

Willemse has played for his province at inside centre while Lukhanyo Am has played all his 36 test matches at outside centre. Why would I want to play both of them in unfamiliar positions?

Jul 11, 2024, 07:34

Because the rest are normal shit indications and that would be a logical deduction from what you wrote above.

Unli.ke Mozart I am not an age election BSter.     De Villiers said that when he was 31 years old he had to train twice as hard as he did when he wass 29 yeasrs old to maintain his eprformace level.     Somme players can last up t 33 ears of age - but those are rarities,   

So most of your 33 to 36 year olds are jsut abourt BS forecasts and only the minimsl numbr of players will be able to perform if De Villiers comments are borne in mind.   It depends on the ability of players to  maintain fitness and abilities for longer than others since aging plays a major role when it comes to physicality andx asociated imjury problems.  .   .   .            . 

Jul 11, 2024, 11:33

Mike, I get the feeling Rooinek is ignoring you.....do you get the same feeling?

It's just a question.

Jul 11, 2024, 12:52

Ou Rooitwit should talk about going backwards, his speciality.:D

The renewing of the Bok team will happen incrementally. These days players last a bit longer so maybe a few of the oldies will make 2027.

Deon Fourie showed what is possible. 

With the coming through we fortunately are not forced to rely on oldies. 



Jul 11, 2024, 15:26

DumbMike, if the players train 10 hours per day - are you saying that Devilliers was training 20 hours per day?

If anything older players train less, especially a few days after a match

Jul 11, 2024, 15:53

It's not Oom Maaik saying it, Jean said it himself.

Jul 11, 2024, 16:38

Or perhaps he meant training was twice as hard….training twice as much sounds like drivel

Jul 11, 2024, 17:32

Haha of course training twice as much is nonsense. The guys train exactly the right amount. There are a ton of factors to consider in working out how much a pro should train.

Simply doubling the amount, or even training "more", is likely the opposite of what actually happens.

"Hey Jean, we are running 20km."

"Sharp, I'll just run 40km, because you know I have to train twice as hard now and being older means I'm far less likely to break down...cos that's how age works, obviously. Also don't worry about me, because Fourie is running 500km...he already started last week and is somewhere in the Karoo at the moment."

Jul 11, 2024, 17:40

Obviously it was not meant literally...and it might have been twice as hard... something to that effect...why is it even an issue?

Jul 11, 2024, 18:08

It’s not….once again Mike makes an out of the blue attack on me, I respond mildly and you rush to his defense. He must be family. Are you also decended from some Griqua queen?

Jul 11, 2024, 19:34

I'm personally just jousting with Mike a little.

Never been nasty to the toppie.

...though he has by default referred to me shit for brains, BSter, and more...

No harm or malice in it really, Draad.

Jul 11, 2024, 20:27

It was not an atack Mozart - I am just descfring your believes in the past that aging plqayers should not be replaced,   

Jul 11, 2024, 21:46

Love your post Rooi - pretty much with you on that except Malherbe ahead of Koch at 3 and I’d still have de Allende in the mix

You pretty much nailed the squad and extended - I’d add Green, David Kriel, Papier, Nohamba, Thomas du Toit, Grobelaar, Dweba and Ruben v Heerden to the mix

My RC squad would be:

15. Fassi / Gelant

14. Kolbe / Green

13. Am / Moodie

12. de Allende / Esterhuizen

11. Arendse / Edwill vd Merwe

10. Pollard / Libbok / Sacha

9. Faf / Williams / Nohamba

Utility backs: Willemse / David Kriel

1. Ox / Steenkamp / Kitshoff

2. Bongi / Marx / Dweba

3. Malherbe / Wilco / Thomas

4. Etzebeth / Jenkins

5. RG / Ruben v Heerden

6. Kolisi / Kwagga / Buthelezi

7. PSDT / Elrigh Louw / JL du Preez / BJ Dixon

8. Roos / Hanekom / Dan du Preez

I’d play our best side against NZ and starts introducing youngster against Oz and Argies

vs NZ

15. Willemse 14. Kolbe 13. Am 12. de Allende 11. Arendse 10. Pollard 9. Faf 1. Ox 2. Marx 3. Malherbe 4. Eben 5. RG 6. Kolisi 7. PSDT 8. Roos

16. Bongi 17. Kitshoff 18. Wilco 19. Ruben v Heerden 20. Kwagga 21. Williams 22. Libbok 23. Esterhuizen

vs Oz

15. Fassi 14. Green 13. Am 12. Willemse 11. Arendse 10. Libbok 9. Williams 1. Steenkamp 2. Bongi 3. Thomas 4. Jenkins 5. RG 6. Kwagga 7. Elrigh Louw 8. Hanekom

16. Dweba 17. Ox 18. Malhere 19. Eben 20. BJ Dixon 21. Nohamba 22. Sacha 23. Esterhuizen

vs Argies

15. Gelant 14. Kolbe 13. Moodie 12. David Kriel 11. vd Merwe 10. Sacha 9. Faf 1. Kitshoff 2. Dweba 3. Wilco 4. Eben 5. Ruben v Heerden 6. Buthelezi 7. JL du Preez 8. Dan du Preez

16. Marx 17. Steenkamp 18. Malherbe 19. Jenkins 20. Kolisi 21. Williams 22. Willemse 23. de Allende

Jul 12, 2024, 00:47

This is a Mallet/Du Plessis moment. Like Mallet, even more than Mallett, Eluckmiss has benefited from his predecessor’s squad and tactical naïveté. 

Du Plessis and Coetzee never took care of the basics…never played to Bok forward power. And as a result they failed. Mallett and Eluckmiss being forwards smartly made pack power the focus.

But they both failed to evolve tactics and  particularly in Eluckmiss’ case, failed to evolve the squad.

So he now realizes he has to broaden tactically with a squad which will need to be mostly new faces by 2027. Mallett fell off his perch the moment he started to change du Plessis’ team, it won’t be easy. 

 
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