http://www.supersport.com/cricket/cricket-world-cup/news/150317/Bat_first_dont_obsess_over_AB_Murali
then this
Q - How important is the toss, and how much of an advantage will it be batting first?
AB - I'm not sure. I don't know yet. The stats are pretty even, I think, chasing and batting first. You saw Sri Lanka chasing really well the other night here. Lots of games have been won by the team batting second here. I'm not too worried about that. Whatever happens tomorrow, we'll just try and adjust as quickly as possible, whether we bat or bowl first, and try and find a way to run through them if we bowl first, and if we don't, try and find a way to post a big total.