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FORUM / MIKES GRIPES /  LATEST NUMBERS: Govt. Models Overestimated Hospitalizations by 8 Times; ICU Beds by 6.4 Times; Ventilators Needed by 40.5 Times

LATEST NUMBERS: Govt. Models Overestimated Hospitalizations by 8 Times; ICU Beds by 6.4 Times; Ventilators Needed by 40.5 Times

Started by Beeno10 REPLIES180 VIEWS· 06 Apr 2020, 13:19
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Beeno1Captain40,032 posts
06 Apr 2020, 13:19
#1
06 Apr 2020, 13:19#1

Absurdly inaccurate modeling to continue to be used to create panic.

Took the time to watch a long White House briefing. Trump knows he has to open the economy. knows the modeling is way out and is encouraging the use of hydroxychloroquine under doctors administration.

Thank God for President Trump.


This is quite stunning.
The government models used to predict the extent of the coronavirus pandemic are off by huge margins in the latest coronavirus tracking numbers.

The current government predictions reported by Covid Tracking (https://covidtracking.com/data/ ) for Apr 5th show:

– All beds needed: 179,267
– ICU beds needed: 33,176
– Invasive ventilators: 26,544

Those were the predictions.

The actual numbers as recorded at The Covid Tracking Project:

– Actual hospitalizations: 22,158
– In ICU: 5,207
– On ventilator: 656

Ned Nikolov, Ph.D.@NikolovScience

Comparing #COVID19 Projections (https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections ) with reported data by Covid Tracking (https://covidtracking.com/data/ ) for Apr 5:
- Overestimation of hospitalizations: 8 times
- Overestimation of of ICU beds needed: 6.4 times
- Overestimation of ventilators needed: 40.5 times

— END OF THREAD —

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