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Latest Poll results re Wisconsin

Started by Beeno13 REPLIES2,188 VIEWS· 01 Apr 2016, 22:16
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BE
Beeno1Captain40,032 posts
01 Apr 2016, 22:16
#1
01 Apr 2016, 22:16#1
This is the one state that could be close in April. Trump seems in the clear with the others.
There are just 5 days remaining until republican voters go to the polls in the Wisconsin Primary.

Hitherto Donald Trump has been dominating the primaries, winning a total of 21 contests while his nearest competitor Ted Cruz has won 9. Meanwhile John Kasich won in his home state of Ohio, claiming that following that victory "It`s a whole new race".

Polls last month showed Donald Trump with a large lead in the state however new voter surveys conducted within the last few days give us a better idea of how the race has progressed following the suspension of Marco Rubio`s campaign.

An Emerson Poll of 439 likely voters with a margin of error of 4.6% conducted between March 20-22 shows the following numbers.

Ted Cruz         36%
Donald Trump  35%
John Kasich    19%

An Optimus Poll with a very high sample of 6182 and margin of error of 1.1% shows a very close race between the three candidates .

Donald Trump   31%
John Kasich     29%
Ted Cruz          27%
CL
clevermikeCoach57,555 posts
02 Apr 2016, 04:37
#2
02 Apr 2016, 04:37#2
 Beeno
The question was clearly dealt with by the latest opinion poll in Wisconsin.  According to that poll Cruz has a 14 point lead on Trump and disaster will strike if Cruz is able to increase that lead.  Trump made a huge mistake about the women issue and 19% more women will vote for Cruz than for Trump.
I think the RP is in serious trouble.   The Democrats are going to walk the Presidential election this year because of Trump.       





BE
Beeno1Captain40,032 posts
02 Apr 2016, 13:02
#3
02 Apr 2016, 13:02#3
 Nope Trump is not in trouble and th democrast will crash as hilalry is going to jail.Trump as all are saying has great anti establishment cross over appeal. This is what will be the surprise.Those poll figures are recent. Anyhow time will tell. They have been writing Trump off ever since he started.As for wee hilalry she is headed for the clink:

Friday on Fox Business Network’s “Varney & Co.,” Fox News legal analyst Arthur Aidala dismissed the notion that Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton was actually looking forward to a meeting with FBI director James Comey.

Aidala pointed out there are penalties for lying to the FBI and that in some cases, the penalties for lying to the FBI are more severe than the actual crime that is being investigated.

“Sure, people who don’t know what the heck they’re talking about and I’m not saying that in a joking manner. People who don’t really know what they’re saying because when you talk to the FBI, Stuart, if you lie to them, you are subject to jail. Many of my clients, my lower ranking clients, the penalties for lying to the FBI are more severe than what they’re being investigated to, it’s a five-year jail possibility there. Martha Stewart, she went to jail for lying to the FBI.”

Aidala went on to lay out how Clinton’s meeting with Comey would proceed, but speculated there was enough evidence for a grand jury to to conduct its own investigation.

“I think there’s enough evidence here to put it in front of a grand jury and see if we have an indictment or not,” he added.

CL
clevermikeCoach57,555 posts
03 Apr 2016, 14:28
#4
03 Apr 2016, 14:28#4
 Beeno
You have never been correct on the issue of opinion polls.  Let me remind you that you said Trump would win in Texas - but he lost by nearly 500 000 votes.   You said he would win in Ohio - yet he lost.  
Whenever you quote poll figures the outcome is worse for Trump than what you wrote,  Forget about what you read in opinion poll figures because most voters make up their minds finally on what they will do shortly before the poll date or even when they vote.
   
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