I wonder what is going to happen to Biden after his latest gaffe about Black voters? He may actually be replaced as candidate by the Democrats before their Convention because of his rank stupidity, I t could cost them tens of thousands of Black votes if they continue with him as their candidate.
Nah. The lefties regard this as a minor setback. What is more, the black people who are upset are just the odd Uncle Tom, they’ll have you believe.
Ceradyne
The Black voters are obviously been brainwashed by CNN and other TV channels - but the fact remains that there is an organized movement to get them away from being the easy target of the left to use hem as voting fodder, The fact is that there are Black Democrats - even in the state legislatures - who are now also speaking out against the system.
In 2016 there were only 8% .of the Black voters who voted for Trump - approximately 1,3 million voters. If that number doubles to 16% this year the loss of votes will be about 1,3 million votes -which the Democrats cannot afford to lose. Even if there is a 4% change it will mean a loss of 600 000 votes, it will be catastrophic for the DP in key states like Pennsylvania and Michigan, as well as Minnesota and Virginia.
Aside from that it would appear from university studies that the Democrats can lose a further 10% support amongst :Latino voters they could write off states like Colorado and New Mexico.
In looking at the above one also have to bear in mind the ease by which the Republcian candidate - endorsed by Trump - won in the by-election in House district 25 last week, A turnaround of 19% in the result in a District where 40% of the voters are Latino's and Blacks is not a good sign for the Democrats.
I do not really believe in polls because in the USA they are always wrong, If one looks at the Foxnews polls in 2016 not one of which showed a Trump victory, I think the problem is they are targeting the wrong voter groups or some people just hide their preferences by giving wrong information to the pollsters.
You are preaching to the converted. My post was tongue in cheek. “..... they’ll [the lefties] have you believe. “
“ I do not really believe in polls because in the USA they are always wrong, “
They don’t need to be. It depends on who requests them and for what reason. All these polling companies used to be just that independent polling companies. It has now become big business ventures. Why is it that they have recently become so wrong?
In the UK in the lead up to an election, you would have the Telegraph quoting a YouGov Poll suggesting that the Tories have an overwhelming lead. Then you would have the Guardian quoting a YouGov poll suggesting that Labour is in the lead. Both of these outlets obviously pay enormous amounts for these polls.
Fact is that it is easy to create a poll to get an outcome. You approach the polling company with a request saying: “We believe that people overwhelmingly believe this that and the other. Could you please do a survey to confirm that?” That is way different from asking them “Could you please do a survey to establish whether there is an truth in the possibility that people may believe in this, that and the other?”
There is an analogy to that. It is similar to what has been going on in the USA. “We say that Trump and his campaign has been colluding with the Russians, please conduct and investigation to confirm it”. In other words “We have got a culprit, now go find a crime”, instead of we have found a crime, now go find the culprit”.
Same with polls. “We have an outcome. You go do a survey to prove it and for that we’ll pay you handsomely”.
That’s why I believe that the only accurate polls, nowadays, are exit polls.
The likely Demonrat nominee will be the very crooked Hillary? Unless legal i ssues overwhelm her.