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FORUM / MIKES GRIPES /  The Man who Correctly Predicted President Trump’s 2016 Win Predicts President Trump has a 91% Chance of Being Reelected in 2020

The Man who Correctly Predicted President Trump’s 2016 Win Predicts President Trump has a 91% Chance of Being Reelected in 2020

Started by Beeno13 REPLIES2,890 VIEWS· 03 Jul 2020, 11:02
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Beeno1Captain40,032 posts
03 Jul 2020, 11:02
#1
03 Jul 2020, 11:02#1

Ou redrooi of course is counting his chickens before they hatch just as he dvd in 2016. He has learnt nothing because he is so dumb. One would expect a more cautious approach given all his miscalculations in this regard.

Who will forget DA's brilliant summary of the buffoons pre 2016 election howlers! Hahahahahahahahha.

Maybe what thvs Prof has to say will temper poor redooi's hopes. Of course he is not helped by fake news CNN who suggests biden will get 400 electoral College votes. Hahahhahahahahahaha Poor wee redrooikie is allowing CnN to fill up his empty head with garbage.

We know wee redrooi has high hopes for massive electoral fraud but will that be enough to unseat this great President. Doubt it.


Professor Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook University told Lou Dobbs on August 16th, 2016, that Donald Trump had an 87% chance of winning the 2016 Presidential election.

Professor Norpoth is a political science professor at Long Island’s Stoney Brook University.

His model has been correct since 1996 on predicting the popular vote.

We reported that his 2016 forecast rested on a model that tracks cyclical movements in American presidential elections. It goes back to 1828, when popular voting became widespread and the two-party system took hold. Over nearly two centuries, American presidential elections have exhibited a distinct cycle. This is not the pattern associated with partisan realignments that may last 30 years or so, but a shorter cycle that relates to party control of the White House.

Norpoth made the prediction in March and says he still stands by his election prediction.

Helmut joined Lou Dobbs again tonight to discuss the 2020 election.  He gives President Trump a 91% chance of winning the 2020 Presidential election.

Helmut said that he never saw an individual win an election who placed 5th in New Hampshire (Biden).  He also said that President Trump did very well in the primaries this year while Biden didn’t do anything until he won South Carolina.

It’s early and a lot can happen but we are in agreement with Dr. Norpoth.

Watch video clip:HERE
MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
22 Nov 2023, 16:50
#2
22 Nov 2023, 16:50#2

Who is ‘we’ Hasbeen…..you mean somebody else is stupid enough to share your delusions.

CR
CrusadersfanPro3,099 posts
22 Nov 2023, 17:16
#3
22 Nov 2023, 17:16#3

Just out of interest what did he predict in 2020?

SH
sharkbokCaptain23,196 posts
22 Nov 2023, 17:43
#4
22 Nov 2023, 17:43#4


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