Moz i 100% agree with your response in a previous post. I decided to make this post to show exactly why i agree.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p9t-7QJ44is
There a link to the SBW sending off.
Go to 00:55 in the video.
Note, it's slow motion
At that point there are some things SBW is unaware of...
1) Where the attacker will end up heightwise.
2) If the tackler will break the first tackle.
3) Where his own player will end up during the tackle.
4) The possibility of an off-load to the 9 who looks to be circling round.
5) Finally, weather the attacker will straighten or continue to move laterally across the field in the tackle.
So, there are five pretty huge variables there. Almost every aspect of the tackle is at that point unknown to SBW. To be able to preempt a course of action is practically impossible.
Lets assume that none of us knew the outcome of this tackle and i presented you with this video up to this point and from as many angles you like.
Would you be able to guess the outcome? Fact is you wouldn't Neither would i, neither would anyone else. And this is with all the time in the world to think about it.
Can we assume that SBW could reliably predict what would happen thus preempt a course of action accordingly ? 100% NO!
How did he prepare for the tackle? How is SBW set up for the tackle?
1) He hasn't yet dropped his shoulder
2) His body position is relatively low already in anticipation of having to go in low since the attacker is being brought down.
3) In no way is he leading with his shoulder and already has his arms out as though to tackle legitimately.
In other words, his setup, from a safety perspective at least, is perfect.
Now we play the video clip up to 00:56.
Notice that this is 1 second later, in roughly 50% slow mo. Therefore in reality only half a second or 500ms has passed.
During that 500ms, SBW went from being completely fine and within the law of the game, to a committing a foul which i believe lost the ABs the series. Not that they lost since it was a draw, but rather that they'd have outright won it.
Remember that the defending player also has a right to defend himself, and in this instance that's what i believe SBW was doing since the tackle played out quite strangely.
The main point against my reasoning here is that if he went low enough then all the above is circumvented.
Take a look at 00:09. SBW's knee is practically touching the ground. Prior to the tackle. For me, that is sufficient proof that is trying to go in low.
TLDR: SBW went in low, with arms, into a tackle that played out strangely and was required to respond in what i believe to be an amount(500ms) of time which precludes culpability.
We watch in slow motion and he looks guilty as hell.
Taking all the factors and real time speed of the incident into account there is no way he should have been sent off. There should never be an incident where a player is powerless in preventing getting carded and having the game ruined.
in an incident like this the ref should have to watch the replay in real time and only if he is able to determine in real time that the player is guilty, should the player be sent off.
If there is pre-medidated action involved, like hitting a ruck with a shoulder with no arms etc then slow should be used.


