48pts chiefs - crusaders, bye, hurricanes, crusaders, blues
46pts bulls - sharks, cheetahs, kings, sharks, stormers
46pts brumbies - blues, hurricanes, rebels, force
44pts reds - stormers, rebels,bye, waratahs
42pts crusaders - chiefs, waratahs, highlanders chiefs, hurricanes
here are IMO the 5 teams with the most realistic chance of finishing on top of the overall conference.
the psychological edge that steiny speaks of between the crusaders would prob be better defined in their second mtach up in round 19.
but u cant forget the crusaders/chiefs match last year in round17 where the crusaders beat the chiefs only to lose to them in the semis later on.
chiefs just arent the same team this year, injuries to key players throughout their season and losing the likes of SBW, trymalolo and kane thomoson has had a signifcant impact.
then u look at the crusaders and its like the exact oppoisite, their key players are all returning, thier forward pack is starting to live up to its rep as one of the best in the comp, all highlighted in their last two games where they made the blues and brumbies look so ordinary and those teams are in good form and both have been in the top 6 for most of the season.
i get the feeling the crusaders will roll the cheifs this week and all their oppoistions from here till the end to finish on top.
bulls have hit some primo form too, but with 4 of their 5 matches against the cheetahs, stormers and the sharks twice, i cant shake the feeling they will drop one of those games, mainly one of the shark battles which will see the crusaders surpass them on points.
should the bulls go win the rest of their matches, then the smart money says they will top the comp.