
sharkbok
Captain23,250 posts

sharkbokCaptain23,250 posts
11 Aug 2019, 01:42#1
The All Blacks need to work out how to beat the rush defence, and umbrella variant of this- as well as get more front foot possession from the pack.
It might be best to shift to Barrat back to 10, and put Ben Smith at fullback.
Ben Smith looks lost on the wing and probably no longer has the pace at test level. He could get more involved at 15 and give another option at second receiver. He has a good pass to form a second line to loop around the umbrella. A faster winger could also give more counter-attacking options.
Inside centre is a problem position for the All Blacks. Sonny Bill has played so many of the games, that there are less experienced players at 12. There are options, just not a certainty of the order of preferred selections.
The ABS pack is lacking mongrel to get over the advantage line, and this makes the rush/ umbrella defence harder to beat.
Tight five is an issue. The one true enforcer in Retalick is injured in a rush to get fit by the world cup. Scott Barrat is the 2nd closest option as an enforcer, but he is not a major threat- at least not at this stage of his career- if ever...
The All Blacks have also been less effective in making turnovers at the breakdown, giving less counter-attacking opportunities.
Openside flank is certainly missing Mccaw, especially now that Keiren Read is looking like a spent force at the breakdown, and in general as well.
There are at least 6 teams at the world cup that could beat each other on the day. Can the All Blacks play 3-4 difficult tests at the world cup against stronger packs, with fewer turnovers and a backline struggling to break defences down?
Barrat at 10 will get him more involved, and Ben Smiths experience at XV change the attacking dimension to try to beat the rush/umbrella defences.

sharkbok
Captain23,250 posts

sharkbokCaptain23,250 posts
12 Aug 2019, 01:55#5
Something I notice about Rassie teams is that many of the tackles the Boks make are around the chest area to wrap up the ball in the tackle, limiting offload options.
Argentina usually has a good offload game, but the All Blacks were also not very effective at offloading when they played the Boks. Sonny Bill attempted a back flip pass offload but it ended up in the stands and it was forward.
12 Aug 2019, 03:21#6
History tells us that after a significant loss vs Oz, they come back and come back hard in the return bout.
All the negative press and comments such as “All Blacks aura of invincibility is gone” only add fuel to the fire and gives them all the inspiration they need to turn it around.
We shall see if they are good enough come Saturday at the Garden of Eden...
If not then the RWC will be wide open with the Boks and Oz in very strong positions.
Still think the NH teams will choke and expect an all SH final once again.

sharkbok
Captain23,250 posts

sharkbokCaptain23,250 posts
12 Aug 2019, 18:23#9
@Clevermike, yes the tight five is a spent force- this has been hidden over the last 2 years by the opportunism of Barrat. Barrat scores and setups more tries than any other play in world rugby
Stop Barrat, and suddenly lots of teams can beat New Zealand. Ben Smith is wasted on the wing, but having at 15 may give a 2nd playmaker.
I see Laumpe is only 5.8 tall - about the same height as Kolbe. He does, however, weigh 97kg

sharkbok
Captain23,250 posts

sharkbokCaptain23,250 posts
14 Aug 2019, 01:03#14
I am sure Barrat will go to 10, and Ben Smith to 15.
The world cup has arrived too early for Moounga, and he does not have the experience. It does not help that inside centre is a position without a certain starter. Sonny Bill is playing local club rugby to try find his remaining form.
RORooinek
Captain18,117 posts
RORooinekCaptain18,117 posts
14 Aug 2019, 09:59#17
I've never understood Hansen's reluctance to invest in Ngani Laumape. If it was me Laumape would have had the All Black #12 jersey locked down two seasons ago.
I suspect Hansen has bought into all the hype around Sonny Bill and his offloading ability but even now that he appears to be giving up on that idea he goes and selects the plodder Anton Lienert-Brown ahead of Laumape. Not sure why he has this blind spot for such a talented and effective player.
Either way, the All Blacks will be back and stronger than ever. Maybe not at this RWC but to me they're still the favourites.