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Bulls v Brumbies Super Rugby Semi-final Preview

Started by Monkey D Luffy2 REPLIES386 VIEWS· 27 Jul 2013, 09:31
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MD
Monkey D LuffyPro6,277 posts
27 Jul 2013, 09:31
#1
27 Jul 2013, 09:31#1
Bulls v Brumbies Super Rugby Semi-final Preview

Etienne Oosthuizen of the Brumbies connects with Jan Serfontein in a tackle


The Bulls will be aiming to beat the Brumbies and reach their four Super Rugby final and potentially also host the final in Pretoria.

 

By the time the Bulls and Brumbies Semi-final clash kicks off they will know the result from the Chiefs vs Crusaders match and if the Crusaders beat the Chiefs and the Bulls win they will host the final.

 

If by the time the match starts the Bulls know that they could be playing again at home next weekend it could give them an extra incentive to end the Brumbies campaign.

 

The Bulls will however have to get up to match speed quickly as they had a bye last weekend while the Brumbies had an almost perfect match in preparation terms.

 

The Brumbies beat the Cheetahs 15-13 in Canberra and had a big scare at the end of the match which should give them a big wake up call for this week.

 

The match against the Cheetahs will also have prepared the Brumbies for the South African style of play.

 

The Bulls have played the Brumbies 15 times in Super Rugby since March 1998 and they have won six times and lost 9 times.

 

That gives the Bulls a record of winning just 40% of their matches against the Brumbies. The average score when the Bulls play the Brumbies across all venues is Bulls 27 Brumbies 31.

 

This weekend the match will be played in Pretoria which is home for the Bulls. It is also the place where the Bulls have yet to lose a match this year.

 

The Bulls have had home advantage over the Brumbies 8 times and they have won five times and lost three times.

 

That gives the Bulls a record of winning 63% of their matches against the Brumbies at Loftus in Pretoria.

 

The average score when the Bulls play the Brumbies in Pretoria is Bulls 31 Brumbies 26.

 

The Bulls lost their last match but before their loss to the Stormers they had won nine matches in a row - all on South African soil. The Bulls might have won three titles but they still showed this year that they are not good travelers outside of South Africa.

 

The Bulls fielded a team that was not at full strength against Stormers and this week they have brought back some of their brightest stars in Jan Serfontein and Francois Hougaard.

 

The Brumbies named an unchanged team that beat the Cheetahs so they will have the benefit of continuity but this will be outweighed by the disadvantage that they have had to travel for this weekend's match.

 

The Brumbies have done well against South African opposition this season as they've won three of their five matches against teams from the Republic (including a close 23-20 win over the Bulls in Canberra), lost one and drew one. Although their record in South Africa is not that good - with an overall winning percentage of only 36.8%.

 

Playing in South Africa over the years, the Brumbies have won 14 out of their 38 matches (one was drawn), but in their last six encounters on this side of the Indian Ocean, they've only won twice.

 

In seven visits to Pretoria (and once in Brakpan), the Brumbies have won 37% of their matches against the Bulls franchise.

 

The Brumbies have lost their last three matches against the Bulls at Loftus Versfeld and their last win in Pretoria was

 

In 2013 the Brumbies have played eight matches away from home and won four. They have played two South African teams in South Africa and won one and lost one. The average score across those two matches is SA Teams at home 23 Brumbies 26.

 

The Brumbies best performance in South Africa this year was against the Sharks when they blew the men from Durban away in the first half and went on to win 10-29 in Durban.

 

The Brumbies will need a similar performance to that one in Durban but they will need to play for the whole eighty minutes as they let the Sharks back into the match in the second half and it is usually on the 60 minute mark that the Bulls pull away from their opposition.

 

Average score: Bulls 27 Brumbies 31

 

Last five results
30 Mar 2013 Bulls v Brumbies 20-23 Canberra
21 Apr 2012 Bulls v Brumbies 36-34 Pretoria
20 Feb 2010 Bulls v Brumbies 50-32 Pretoria
17 Apr 2009 Bulls v Brumbies 31-32 Canberra
09 May 2008 Bulls v Brumbies 28-17 Pretoria

 

Bulls overall record against the Brumbies
Played 15 ,
Wins, 6, Losses, 9 ,Draws 0

 

Super Rugby Semi-Final (Match C)
Match No.124/125: Bulls v Brumbies
Date : Saturday 27 July, 2013
Venue : Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria, South Africa
Kick Off local: (1705 local, 0305 NZ, 0105 NSW/ACT, 1505 GMT)
*Date will be Sunday 28 July in Australian Central Eastern/Central and NZ time zones.
Referee: Craig Joubert
Assistant Ref 1:Jonathan Kaplan
Assistant Ref 2:Marius Jonker
TMO : Shaun Veldsman

 

Teams

 

Bulls

Zane Kirchner , Akona Ndungane, JJ Engelbrecht, Jan Serfontein , Bjorn Basson , Morne Steyn, Francois Hougaard, Dewald Potgieter (c), Jacques Potgieter, Deon Stegmann , Grant Hattingh, Flip van der Merwe , Werner Kruger, Chiliboy Ralepelle, Dean Greyling

Replacements: Callie Visagie, Frik Kirsten, Morne Mellett, Paul Willemse, Jono Ross , Jano Vermaak, Jurgen Visser.

 

Brumbies

1. Scott Sio , 2. Stephen Moore , 3. Ben Alexander , 4. Scott Fardy , 5. Sam Carter , 6. Peter Kimlin , 7. George Smith , 8. Ben Mowen (c) , 9. Nic White , 10. Matt Toomua , 11. Clyde Rathbone , 12. Christian Lealiifano , 13. Tevita Kuridrani , 14. Henry Speight , 15. Jesse Mogg

Replacements: 16. Siliva Siliva , 17. Ruan Smith , 18. Fotu Auelua , 19. Colby Faingaa , 20. Ian Prior , 21. Andrew Smith , 22. Joe Tomane

MD
Monkey D LuffyPro6,277 posts
27 Jul 2013, 09:32
#2
27 Jul 2013, 09:32#2

im not a big fan of white, in fact i think hes quite over rated, but just cos ive got a black belt in arm chair critic ju jitsu dosent mean im right and the numbers which are clearly on whites side, plus the recruits both players and staff (brian smith) have been simply genius.
looking at both teams, if i was the bulls, i wouldnt be feeling too comnfortable, cos this time round theres an honest ref even if hes not neutral, im sure he wont repeat the worst reffing performance in super rugby hsitory during the last brumbies v bulls match when marius jonker single handedly gave the bulls the win.

looking at the match ups though
front row
d greyling, c ralepelle, w kruger
vs
s sio, s moore, b alexander
i dont share the sentiments about sio scrummagin illegally last week, there were only two scrum penalties that IMO the cheetahs could feel hard done by, but they were also lucky wiuth some of the calss, so it was very even, but i thought that sio was awesome in that game and given the way the wallabies were destroyed by the lions, maybe deano should have injected him in there, he wouldnt have been any worse IMO.
the front rows are both soild, but brumbies look the stronger of the two.
advantage brumbies

locks
f van der mewe g hattingh
vs
p kimillin, s carter
very even, but SA locks are always dangerous, even though its not SA best playing this week, they should still out play the brumbies 2nd row.
flips going to have to watch the penalties though, christain aint too shabby a kicker.
advantage bulls

loose forwards
d stegmann, j potgieter, d potgieter
vs
s fardy, g smith, b mowen
brumbies should win this battle and then some, even though they were pretty quiet almost average againstt he cheetahs loose forward trio, their performances as a whole in 2013 has been one of the best in the comp.
with higgs injury, mowne IMO is easily aussies best forward and IMO a future wallaby captain and hes going to have to call on that leadership to guide his team and inspire them to play smart and not give many penaties away, cos morne will be lurking the loftus waters with the jaws theme song for ever playing.
bulls loosies know how to get the job done, but their stardom had failed to go beyond the boundries of super rugby and will make it tough for the brumbies as they fight in their own backyard.
advantage brumbies.

halves
f hougaard, m steyn
vs
n white, m toomua
what an exciting halves battle this is going to be. super boot morne vs new kid on the block toomua and hougaard and white who have both struggled to become their countrys incumbent halfbacks
morne wont lose the kicking uel, his all round kicking is of the highest order of the moment and its great to see especially after the hard times he went through last year.
while morne has the advantage, keep an eye out on mick whites kicks, cos hes got a super accurate boot too, his touch finders are amongst the best in the comp, easily in the top three along with morne and carter.
but a red hot morne at loftus has claimed many many scalps and that will be the decideing factor IMO.
afavantage bulls

centers
j serfontein, jj englebrecht
vs
c leilafano, t kuridrani
another exciting battle here, christain leilafano has IMO been the best 12 in the comp, but sefontein has got that something special, that thing magical thing which walt disney films are made of and the two cancal each other out.
kuridrani and jj are another very equal battle, both in physique, skill and base, but jj has had the better season and kuridrani has a habbit of sometimes going missing.
advantage bulls

outside backs
a ndungane, b basson. z krichner
vs
j mogg, h speight, c rathbone
IMO tomane is better then rathbone, but even with that blunder from white, the brumbeis outside backs look stronger fo the two.
speight was outstanding with ball in hand the last time he was in loftus and 2013 has been another good year for the future wallaby.
mogg will need to assert himself a lot more this week and make use of the balls which are sure to be kicked his way, his counter attacking will be key for the brumbeis in this match and using speight as often  as possible.
white needs tobring on tomane with at least 30mins left, he needs time to adjust and do his thing which is use that 100kg plus frame on nos to get trys.
advantage brumbies

bench
Callie Visagie, Frik Kirsten, Morne Mellett, Paul Willemse, Jono Ross , Jano Vermaak, Jurgen Visser.
vs
Siliva Siliva , Ruan Smith , Fotu Auelua , Colby Faingaa , Ian Prior , Andrew Smith , Joe Tomane
i rate visagie and vermaak, but the brumbies bench will give them way more impact then the bulls bench will give thiers.
advantage brumbies

the loftus factor is the bigegst factor here and while the brumbies look better on paper, loftus is one of spXVs true fortresses with the bulls being one of two teams to not loase at home three guesses who the other ones are,
interesting fact though, the bulls have not won against the crusaders or brumbies, 2 of the 4 semi finalists and they scored a bye against the chiefs, so it might be better if both the crusaders and brumbies lose this match, as the final would be the first time thoise team clash in 2013.
home advantage plus travel though should see the bulls squeak past the line, but only just.

BE
Beeno1Captain40,032 posts
27 Jul 2013, 15:24
#3
27 Jul 2013, 15:24#3

 saSUE when I weigh your opinion about Jake against the high praise expressed for White by Mallert, Mitchell and Ashwin Willemse I find yours to be lightweight and can only ponder again how mortified StormingEd must ahve been by suggestions you were StormingEd.

This is going to be hard for the bulle and the outcome is uncertain. 

— END OF THREAD —

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