CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
21 Jul 2013, 15:20#2
The Chiefs are basically very unlucky. The Cheetahs outscored the Brumbies by two tries to zero - yet were helped along nicely by Jackson who gave the Brumbes ample penalties to override the deficit. I am actually glad it happened, because the Crusaders will now meet the Chiefs in the first semi-final.
I give the Chiefs about a 5% chance of winning that one. The Chiefs have gone backwards in the latter stages of the competition in terms of performance and their victory against the Blues were utterly unconvincing. Their catastrophic loss against the Crusaders in Christchurch is a sign of what is coming their way in Hamilton.
As to the Brumbies - they were in fact out-performed by the Cheetahs in Canberra and they have a similar chance - 5% of beating the Bulls in Pretoria. I was in fact severely disappointed by their performance today - especially their inability to score tries.
Under the circumstances I believe that a final in Pretoria is on the cards and would say the outcome should favour the Crusaders - but a variety of factors favour the Bulls and they may just win. I would say the odds is 60-40 in favour of the Crusaders because the Bulls forwards are not really the best pack around.