The situation is that the first two positions on the log for the five pools are s follows:-
Pool 1 - Leinster 20
Toulouse 17
Pool 2 - Munster 17
Exeter 13
Pool 3 - Saracens 23
Glasgow 18
Pool 4 - Racing 21
Ulster 18
Pool 5 - Edinburg 19
Montpellier 16
So what is going to happen in the final round robin pool games. Two of the above teams may be eliminated when it comes to the above ratings and that makes it very difficult so lets look at the games on Saturday - leaving out Saracens, Racing Metro and Leinster - since they are bound to go through irrespective of whether they win or lose their games.
* Toulouse vs Bath a must win game for Toulouse
* Munster vs Leicester - a must win game for Munster
* Exeter vs Munster - a bonus point loss will take Munster through and will eliminate Exeter. A loss will eliminate Exeter in any event
* Saracens vs Glasgow - a desperate scenario for Glasgow - If they lose - even with a bonus point theya re not going to make it through
* Ulster vs Leicester - another must win case
* Edinburgh vs Montpellier - a must win for both teams
There are a number of scenarios - but I think Exeter is the likeliest of the two teams to be eliminated, with either of Glasgow or Montpellier the other candidates for elimination.
Montpellier was beaten by Edinburgh when they played their previous game in Montpellier and it is an away game for the latter team. The SA players will be the most appearing for those two sides on the day. The SA players in the other teams have in the main already been eliminated from the quarters - eg Bath, Wasps and Sharks.
