MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
23 Jun 2013, 00:24#1
....Oom Maaaik. Wahahahahahaha!
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
23 Jun 2013, 00:28#2
For your convenience I add the Alberts assessment.....which pretty much sums up what I told you he'd provide....um ....before the game.
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7 Willem Alberts
What a difference he made not only to the loose trio but the team as a whole. His uncanny ability to crash over the gainline is invaluable and a big reason behind the backline’s enterprising play. Similarly, his bone crunching hits and unrivalled workrate (15 tackles) on defence inspired his teammates.
8/10
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
23 Jun 2013, 00:47#4
With Alberts and Louw we have worked out two of the three loosie spots. Vermeulen is a possibility, but a bit more pace would be good to have. Arno Botha was the ideal partner, what a pity he got hurt. Spies just can't be our starting number 8 in the RC. The way Kolisi got pole axed makes the case for a bigger frame.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 00:55#5
Mozart before you get euphoric about what that reporter writes - go to the ESPN Scrum stats and see what he really did. "Crashing over the gain line" - that really is a joke. He carried the ball 5 times for a total gain of 5 meters - that represents 0,6 meters per carry. Hardly crashing over the gain line - that is - more like being brought down like a log by the first tackler.
That said - he may have added weight to the pack - but really was not all that good in more open play. Made 6 tackles I saw in the game itself - but that stats said he made more tackles - so I could not identify those in closer facets of the game. Made no open field tackles - the only one I saw was unsuccessful - since the Samoan scrummie scored a try despite his efforts.
Incidentally the only case where I saw him making a strong tackle - was when he and Strauss together tackled a player backward.
Would not say with the available data and the fact that he was largely invisible when he played at 8 during the second half when playing at 8 - I would say he was average in performance with a 5,5/10 being a realistic evaluation.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 00:59#6
Mozart
Todays game has shown one thing clearly - Alberts may be effective around the tighter areas of the game - he is not mobile enough to be effective in games against New Zealand and Australia - he may be usable in NH tests. If Meyer makes the mistake playing him in a test against more mobile forwards - we may as well field 7 forwards and a passenger.
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
23 Jun 2013, 01:10#7
Bwaaaaaaahahahahahahahaha ......really? So how about your Samoa call, a narrow win, a draw or even a loss was swimming around in your pap bowl?
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 01:28#9
Mozart
So you cannot counter what I wrote rugbywise and now revert to utter bullshit. The stats must be wrong - not so? Standard Mozart Bullshit - the players who really made a difference today were Louw and Le Roux - Louw amongst the forwards and Le Roux amongst the backs.
The passengers were Spies, Kolisi and to a slightly lesser extent Alberts - taking into account the ball carrying - for which you fell log, stock and barrel. Hell - what a joke.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 01:28#10
Mozart
So you cannot counter what I wrote rugbywise and now revert to utter bullshit. The stats must be wrong - not so? Standard Mozart Bullshit - the players who really made a difference today were Louw and Le Roux - Louw amongst the forwards and Le Roux amongst the backs.
The passengers were Spies, Kolisi and to a slightly lesser extent Alberts - taking into account the ball carrying - for which you fell log, stock and barrel. Hell - what a joke.
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
23 Jun 2013, 01:32#11
Shows what you know about the game Maaik.....let's set Alberts aside as something you just can't admit. But you leave out Etzebeth who was massive in blunting the Samoan aggression. And you leave out Jean who did so many valuable things throughout the game.
But still, you haven't commented on your Samoan call.....a little embarrassed?
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 04:02#14
Mozart
Grow up - just admit that your euphoria is countered by fact. I watched the game again and am more convinced than ever - that the so-called big hits amounted to two hits - one in together with Kolisi. The rest of his tackles were very ordinary and the players generally fell forward. He also messed up the defence in both tries scored by the Samoans. In the case of the first one he missed a tackle completely and in the second one his tackle was ineffective.
I look at factual performance - not some rubbish touted by others. Before I finally make up my mind - I checked the same stats you use when it fits your purpose.
If I look at the situation as to match result forecasts I consider what happened in previous tests - not sit and make no forecasts and then be the little braggard that is suddenly wise after the fact.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 04:48#16
Mozart
Big mouth afterwards - no mouth before. Cowardice to state any opinion. By the way - what are your comments on Alberts massive ball carrying abilities as reflected oin the stats - or does that prick your overblown balloon and bring matters down to earth. If you can find one incident in the game where Alberts made any significant ball carries - please quote it so that I can become enlightened on the issue. Problem is you cannot name in instance - because it was not in evidence ever. Crashing over the gain line - what a joke.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 05:11#17
Sharkbok
I agree with you wholeheartedly about the New Zealand and Australia game plan against us. In recent tests we have been quite successful to curb that type of play early in games - but in the end it does not help - they get the better of us with the strategy.
Irrespecyive of how we try and dominate up front - we always had two problems to contend with and those are -
* that there is no way in the world that our forwards can prevent that style of play - it is going to happen in tests and happen enough times to get the better over us; and
* the aimless kicking that hand over possession to them and they can use to counter-attack.
Under the circumstances you have to limit the number of low mobile players to a marked extent. You can have a more mobile hooker - which we have and then four other less-mobile plater - there is no way that you can have more in that category.
This brings me back to the issue of Alberts. Due to the low-mobility problem Alberts is not effective as a loosie in games against them. This is confirmed by the tests against Australia and New Zealand - ttoher than the Pretoria test - where SA played a different style of rugby against a team weakened by injury, In the other three tests in the absence of other proof - I am providing here the ESPN stats - which is factually accurate:
Australia
Alberts 0/0 0 0/2/8 5 0 0 0 1 10/3 1/
New Zealand
Alberts 0/0 0 0/0/5 10 0 0 0 1 6/2 0/
Alberts 0/0 0 0/1/4 5 0 0 1 0 1/0 2/
In all three games it was the mobility issue that cause a very poor level of performance by Alberts. His minimal gains in eterage - as well as his low tackle count and comparatively high number of missed tackes - indicates that he makes tackles around he fringes and that he is ineffective in most compenents of the game in question.
Meyer would make a massive mistake if he plays Alberts in the tests against New Zealand and Australia - since his previous performances were just not good enough.
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
23 Jun 2013, 08:35#18
OOm Maaaik!! Giving you stats, raw data actually, is like giving a kid matches. I'm going to give you the running stats for our best number 7 flank in the Boks best year in recent memory.....for all his games.
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Here goes here are all the runs/metres gained.
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2/1, 5/1, 12/15, 11/15, 2/10, 4/11, 6/28, 8/27.
See any games there with big metres per carry? This guy is the best mark you....and he carried 50 times for 108 metres or 2.16 metres per carry. In a great year, full of Bok forward dominance....and again....he was the best.
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Is the penny beginning to drop, hard yards are rarely many yards. The point with these guys is to reset the play, commit defenders and keep the ball secure. Not prance around getting isolated. Man you have a lot to learn. Is it too late I ask myself with tears in my eyes? The player by the way, Juan Smith.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 10:58#20
Mozart
Really dumb type of argument. In the case of Alberts the Hard Yards means nothing - since a Yard is NEVER achieved. Your great argument in respect of hard yards SHOULD ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY some open field carries as well. I can clearly remember that players like Juan Smith and Burger carried balls some distances in more open play themselves.
The reason Alberts never even manage one yard per carry is that he is TOO SLOW TO ACHIEVE ANYTHING LIKE THAT. Alberts is a one-dimensional lock masquerading as a flank. His carrying capacity yesterday was less than those of Etzebeth and Van der Mewe - and obviously not on par with that of Louw. There wa in the case of Alberts last year and yesterday another way to describe his carries - crashes on the gain line or inside the gain line.
Compare his figures with those of McCaw and Lobbe and you would find out that your arguments on thescoe is based on nothng but fine words. Imagine - he is a strong ball carrier in traffic - what a load of crap if those strong carrying means no meters gained.. When your flimsy statements are challenged by facts - you come up with rubbish arguments like the latest one.
Really Mozart - you are wide open to criticism - since your arguments for players you support are so flimsy. A prime example is your statement that a bench player needs not be a test level player. The Alberts strong ball carrying in traffic argument is on the same basis - since it means virtually no carrying a all - beating no defenders and being tackled by the first opponent encountered.
Now if you base your argument on the fact that Alberts adds weight in scrums and mauls - you may have some more success - it will be more difficult to expose IT as flights of imagination like the ball carrying one. If you talk about tackle counts and successful tackles - also more difficult to counter - but then in tests last year (like the Soweto test) where the balls are carried wider than purely in the channel and the ball was not carried by players around the fringes, in that whole test Alberts made ONE tackle - so that one is also easily countered. In the other cases it was the same - his average is 6 tackles per game - with 1 missed tackle per test - very poor for flank forwards.
HAS THE PENNY FINALLY DROPPED THAT YOUR BALL CARRYING ARGUMENT IS IN ALBERTS' CASE MEANINGLESS? Please keep on making frivolous arguments - it is highly amusing.
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
23 Jun 2013, 16:23#21
But Juan Smith never carried the ball "distances".....not in 2009 he didn't. And knowing that you are a dishonest person, with no integrity, I pulled up Alberts stats for every game he started in 2012. Here are the run/metre facts:
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10/60...9/37....7/17.....11/39....8/5....5/10.....6/20.....4/5.....4/5....6/40....3/4.
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Now that makes 73 carries with a total gain of 242 metres....for an average of 3.3 metres a carry. You could find Bok backs with a lower average. And his productivity was 50% higher than Juan Smith in the great year of 2009. That's not to say Alberts is better than Juan, the stats are not normalized.....but it is to say Alberts makes plenty of metres the hard way.
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You use stats to obfuscate not throw light on an issue. You use them dishonestly.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 16:45#22
Mozart
At least I use stats consistently and not ignore them if they do not serve my purpose. Your usage of stats are always suspect - so lets leave the duishonesty issue out of it.
Lets get back to the following questions:-
* How many "plenty of meters" did Alberts make against higher ranked countries in tests in 2012 - ie against Asutralia, New Zealand and England?
* What was the average gain per carry in the relevant tests?
* How many times did he carry the ball yesterday and what was the average meters per ball carry?
* How many times did he carry the ball in the 2 Super 15 matches he played in this year and what was the average territory gain per carry?
I checked all of the above and quoted it previously. Last years average carry was less than 2 meters per carry. Yesterday it was 0,6 meter per carry. That does not mean any significant gain ever - so those are the real stats. The Super 15 stats showed he did nothing in the two matches he played in.
We are not dealing here with other players - past or present. We are dealing here with Alberts and his - according to you - exceptional ball carrying exploits. They are not very much in evidence - now are there? Matter of fact he is a rather poor ball carrier at best - especially compared even with locks like Van der merwe and Etzebeth.
A loosie is not there to carry balls in traffic conditions - he must have a more comprehensive skills set as well. Lack of mobility made Alberts totally ineffective in most tests last year - and he will be equally ineffective in the RC tests this year. That is the long and the short of the matter.
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
23 Jun 2013, 16:53#23
Maaik if you quote stats we should be able to rely on them.....you keep selecting the ones that favour your argument....I presented the whole season. Alberts is a powerful and secure ball carrier....end of story. Your call that he would be poor has been denied by every credible pundit I have read.....just suck it up. And stop lying, it's getting old.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
23 Jun 2013, 17:06#24
Mozart
I used the ESPN stats in this case - just like you do when you attempt to discredit a player and you ignore when you wish to hide the deficiencies of your favoured players.
Dream on "Alberts is a powerful and secure ball carrier" - who makes about a meter every time he carries a ball. He did the same as your other hero De Jongh did at Twickenham last year - he went AWOL in the tests against New Zealand and Australia last year - and will do exactly the same in the tests in the RC this year
Stop lying and suck it up yourself. Game set and match.
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
23 Jun 2013, 17:26#25
It's not the stats that are at fault....it's your inability to interpret them. So, having been wiped out on the argument Alberts had a poor 2012 carrying the ball....you say he went awol against Oz and NZ. But if you look at the loosie trio for that series Louw was the best carrier at 2.2 metres a carry.....Alberts next at 1.74 metres a carry and poor Vermeulen, normally a very productive ball carrier made .95 metres a carry.
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So are Louw and Vermeulen also useless ball carriers? Of course not, the Bok pack was struggling in the TN last year....and all the ball carriers suffered. Get parity in the pack and alberts will click off the hard metres like clockwork.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
24 Jun 2013, 00:57#27
Mozart
I am not convinced by any information provided by you insofar as Alberts being a top ball carrying loosie in traffic situations is concerned. Your latest information confirm in fact that he is not as huge in that as you made him out to be.
My main problem with Alberts is not his ball carrying - but all aspects of loosie play as well. Ball carrying happens in two spheres - namely carrying in traffic and open field carrying - so I will deal with those issue later.
Although I do not believe that ball carrying is the most important function of a loosie - it is of importance, but even of more importance is other aspects such as breakdown play, line-out performance, defence and ball - carrying in a wider context as well.
BREAK DOWN PLAY
Meyer is always going on about breakdown play and everyone agrees that it is important that ball recovery is quick and effective. Breakdowns can occur anywhere on the field of play where effective tackles are made - and the question arises what can loosies contribute to the desired end. The above requires mobility from players and the ability to get to breakdowns expeditiously.
The situation is that unfortunately loosies like Alberts made limited contribution to ball recovery in breakdown situations because of deficient mobility. It is not Alberts that have problems in the relevant regard - players like Coetzee and Kolisi is also seriously deficient in the relevant regard. Louw is not that fast either - but he has one advantage over the others - he has ball sense and he has an instinctive feel about what will happen and what contribution he can make.
If we want to competitive in the RC - we need a different set of loosies who have he speed to match the loosies of those two countries. At this stage this is a major problem and - as it was last year in the RC - when we were beaten badly by players such as Lobbe, Hooper. McCaw and Reid.
LINK PLAY WITH BACKLINE PLAYERS
We have had a long history of back row players with top ability to carry balls in open field play and link up with backline players in doing so. It is here where players like Burger and Juan Smith made their mark as well. What have we got in the back row at present. We have Botha - who scored a magnificent try against the Blues - illustrating his abilities in the relevant regard.
This is one aspect where Louw can compete - remember his carrying of the ball in the Pretoria test last year leading to the one try of Habana - he carried the ball well and his passing was very good.
For the rest we have Alberts and Vermeulen with no ability to contribute in this component of the game. Coetzee and Kolisi are both deficient in this component and their ball handling skills are really deficient - have ever seen any of those two making an efficient pass or off-load to any other player..
A major deficiency that can cost us dearly in the RC.
DEFENCE
There is no doubt that in the channel and on the fringes both Alberts and Vermeulen are good defenders. However, both are very slow compared to their counterparts in the RC teams. They really pose no threat to the flyhalf of opposing teams and even less to the inside centers and outside backs running at angles. A peson would just have to look at the Soweto test last year - where the All Blacks did not attack through the channel and played a wider out game. In that game Alberts played no defensive role at all - he only made one tackle during the whole game.
Botha is speedy enough to play a role in the relevant regard - and Kolisi and Coetzee can with a stretch be classified to be somewhat effective in this component but they are not really a major factor in test matches. If we want to compete we need a solution here as well.
LINE-OUT PERFORMANCE
The problem with some of our top loosies in the Meyer squad produces nothing in regard to line-out play. Vermeulen is the best of those, Alberts (with an average take of slightly above 1 take per test) is not really important in this regard. Coetzee and Kolisi are both non-factors in this component of the game.
Against the All Blacks and Wallabies this is very important - especially with a player like Reid around. To my mind Botha would have been a good counter - but he is unfortunately not available. Of the loosies in Meyer's squad who have a record of good line-out performance in Super 15 Labuschagne is the only credible player - as a matter of fact he was better in Super 15 in that component of the game than Botha. Louw also has a rather spotty record in line-out takes.
As already indicated I do not think that Alberts play a significant role in line-out play - so we are really short in that Department of the game. If we want to counter the Aussies and the All Blacks we ddesperately need other line out options as well.
I AM AFRAID THAT WE CAN HAVE ONE SLOWER AND LESS MOBILE PLAYER AS A LOOSIE - TWO IS UTERLY IMPOSSIBLE IF WE WISH TO BE SUCCESSFUL. A COMBINATION OF VERMEULEN AND ALBERTS WILL BE A SURE WAY TO FAIL IN THE RELEVANT TESTS.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
24 Jun 2013, 11:30#31
Boklogic
I tried to indicate above - based on experiences in tests against the All Blacks and the Wallabies - and also against England during the EOYT that we cannot really compete with an unbalanced back row. Although we dominate the All Blacks to a degree in tight situations - we loose out against them in other aspects of the game and those aspects of the game where they managed to get the better of us and in fact beat the Springboks.
There is no chance that we will ever succeed to dominate the game through tight forward play only. There will be some success - but that would be limited. Beeno it right - it can work against the English team because they have slower loosies as well. Against the AB's and the Wallabies it will never work out.
Vermeulen and Alberts - both has serious deficiencies in major components of the game. All of those are due to deficient mobility. I want to emphasize that we cannot take on the Wallabies and AB's with less mobile loosies than they have. Maybe we can have one less-mobile loosie - two combined is going to cost us games. If Botha was available the matter would be solved - but the problem would then remain that we willstill have to choose between Vermeulen and Alberts for the third loosie position. Vermeulen is a more versatile player and I would inevitably go with him rather than Alberts
I think that the scenario has arisen that Coetzee has a slump in form and Kolisi has serious deficiencies as well - that Meyer may use Labuschagne in the first test against the Argentinians in Soweto to see how things pan out. If that works out it is likely that he will be continuing with him in the remainder of the RC tests with Alberts on the bench to cover the lock and loosie positions - even though Alberts have limited line-out capacity.
In the longer term for the 2015 WC we are likely to have a combination of Louw, Botha, Labuschagne and Vermeulen as the main loosies. Aside from being rather injury prone - Alberts will be on the wrong side of 30 when that series take place while the latest law changes make for a a more mobie game - where he is in fact ineffective.
.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
24 Jun 2013, 13:48#34
boklogic
With the exception of Du Toit in for Bekker and Bismarck for Strauss - minor difference since the players changed are very much on par - your kitchen sink you want to throw at them failed last year in winning games against the AB's. What makes you think that it would be more effective this year?