I am very worried about the team and remains so - even though the one thing I expected would be Jannie being available. I think that the Boks are going to lose by 20+ points - if they don't the AB's would also have to adjust somewhat - since they would not be up to the standards they normally set. My scoreline predictions are based on fact - not fiction. Remember ,my prediction of a Wallaby win last week was by 9+ points. The one thing I did not expect was a try by the Springboks - which in fact reduced the loss to 7 points.
The following problems with the team members have been dealt with extensively in another threaad and I am going to repeat is here with the changes in the team as now announced:-
15 - Kirchner - Lambie would be a better proposisiton, but will most likely be on the bench. The All Blacks knows that Kirchner is very weak under high balls when pessurised and they will pepper him with those.
14 - Habana - but will he last the whole game and disaster will struck when Mvovo is brought on.
13 - De Villiers - sub-standard in the games against the Argentinians in Mendoza and particularly poor in Perth.
12 - Steyn - not at all acceptable thus far in the tests he played in.
11 - Hougaard - Like him as a wing - but did not really play well in Perth.
10 - Morne Steyn - the most predictable flyhalf of the past 50 years and easily dealth with by the opposition thus far this year. Cannot inititate any backline moves of note.
9 - Pienaar - Experienced player - but cannot do much on his own
8 - Vermeulen - a hard grinder - but not expereienced on test level
7 - Alberts - way too slow to be a loosie - never at the point of breakdown fast enough to play any roll Was very poor in Mendoza and Perth as a result. Would be better utilized as a lock forward.
6 - Louw - was not playing on international level this year and likely to perform moderately.
5 - Kruger - not really the best around - was never in sight against the Wallabies other than when he gave a penalty in front of the posts.
4. - Flip Van der Merwe - Bad choice - the only time he was really visible in Mendoza - was the prenalty he gave away in the first line out after he came on.
3 - Jannie Du Plessis did not perform well this year and is unlikely to do so on Saturday. Heaven help us if he gets injured - since Greyling is on the bench. Greyling probably the worst player in the squad.
2 - Strauss - good on Super 15 level - but way below par on international level. Liebenberg is worse.
1`. Beast - way below par this year.
Another question is - who will do the tackling around the fringes in the absence of Coetzee - and the All Blacks are going to attack along the channel - because our defenders with the exception of Pienaar in the channel are not really up to standard.
Let me go back to the bench as announced. Mvovo is a disaster as was proved in Perth. Greyling is absolutely useless and not a props backside.