Thanks Mozart, really good points. I don't think we need that many stats to try and prove a point. We all know that the boks live off penalties via the scrum. That is why a player like Malherbe, when he can scrum, win's us penalties. The up and unders are not there to be caught, but to apply pressure on the kicker to knock it on. Rassies game plan is to feed off mistakes. This works if you have players that are dumb and can't follow advance instructions. That is why it is sad when you see a player like Pollard defend the way we play. The Pollard under Rassie and the one and Meyer are two completely different players.
I watch Richie and Smith and both are flyhalfs that plays with ball in hand, very quick, sharp stepping and fantastically quick hands and feet to keep the defences guessing. Those two weave between the rushing forwards and know how to move the ball around.
Where as our play is mainly off 9 by this human centipede kicking BS. I want to get rid of that law where the scrummy can have his hands on the ball. Slows the game down, these kicks are dangerous as the player in the air is venerable. It should be discouraged.
So what strategy would I use. I don't have any fault with our forward play neither our line outs.
I go for willemse because he is a better distributor. So rather than route one crash, I would mix the screens and allow phase play. If the 10 gets caught, then re-set and allow the 12 to be the next person.
I would also combine kicking for the corners to make it look like we are going for a 50/22, who knows maybe we get lucky. But when they are pin back, I would use the wide channels to drive up the field, the same way NZ did to us. That requires players that can shift the ball and require great handling.
I would also focus on breaking the defensive line off first phase. If we get scrum ball, good line out, then lets not always drive. Drop a forward from the line out and place them in the back or out wider.
But what we saw in the Durban test where our centre and flyhallf could not even pass the ball to each other, dropping the ball or not going to hand was bloody criminal and looked like a lower league C team play. Not from player that have played 50+ test.
We also need players that can stand up in the rush defence, hold the ball up long enough to offload the support runners.