Many of the articles I have read on Razor’s demise have cited All Black dominance for 100 years. That’s actually not true. There have been 4 phases in the Bok/NZ rivalry.
The period from 1921 through 1949 where the Boks led by 9 wins to 4. This was a dominant period where the Boks registered a clean sweep against NZ in 1949 and an away series win by 2 games to 1 in 1937. Our most dominant period.
Then there was the 1956 through 1980. Phase. This phase was actually pretty even, the Boks leading 10 to 9 with one draw. But during this period one extra series was played in RSA. So I’m content to call this a period of shared dominance.
Next there is the period from 1981 through 2022. This was the period of NZ dominance capped by a 3 to 1 NZ series win in South Africa in 1996. Their dominant series in the 105 years. And earlier that year the ABs registered a narrow 15 to 11 win in NZ. Making 1996 the equivalent of 1949 for the Boks. The Boks most prominent year in this long phase was a 3 game clean sweep of the ABs in 2009.
But NZ enjoyed a massive lead in the 1981 through 2022 period, although some of this probably reflected the Boks absence from international competition. Which weakened the skill set, the player pool and as that worked through the system, even the coaching capabilities.
But NZ had consistently great teams during that period. And undermining the absence argument slightly is NZs lead 18 wins to 4 in the 2010 through 2022 period. We were actually better in the 1994 through 2009 period with 27 AB wins to 13 for the Boks.
Add these two sub periods together from 1994 through 2022 NZ won 45 matches to our 17. Undoubtedly the greatest sustained period of dominance in the great rivalry. Although at the WC the Boks pulled out a WC final win against the ABs in 1995 and a runner up win in the1999 WC, giving perhaps a misleading sense of rivalry.
The next major turn in leadership started at Twickenham in 2003. On neutral ground the Boks crushed the ABs by 35 points to 7…..ushering in a new phase of Bok dominance from 2003 through the end of 2005. In this period the Boks lead the ABs 5 to 2 in wins, despite 3 of the games being played in NZ and only 2 in South Africa, This trend should be further extended in 2026 with a series at home for the Boks.
So when the pundits talk about NZ dominance disappearing under Razor, they aren’t talking about 100 years, but the 43 year period from 1980 to 2023. Which from a South African point of view is really a 30 year period if you exclude the period we couldn’t play.
Much is also made in articles about the small NZ pool of players. But truth to tell for political reasons the Boks were also picking out of a limited pool. The effects of choosing from the whole population appears to accelerating and will play a major role in the dominance debate.
And even though there are arguments in favor of France, Ireland and England….my guess is, it remains a two horse race.