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Rugby World Cup conditions change from Durban style Humidity to Dry Highveld

Started by sharkbok2 REPLIES458 VIEWS· 15 Oct 2019, 19:04
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sharkbok
sharkbokCaptain23,246 posts
15 Oct 2019, 19:04
#1
15 Oct 2019, 19:04#1

This week has seen a noticeable change in the season, with dryer conditions replacing the humid late summer, early autumn. 

Like Durban, the late summer is the most humid time, but as Autumn progresses, it is also less hot.  Rassie said the dryer conditions should favour Japan more than the warm-up game which was so humid, that it was more like wet weather. 

These type of "dryer" conditions will also make it harder for Northern Hemisphere teams with bigger slower packs. 

I don't think it will be much of an issue for the Boks, because the Boks have always played better on the dry highveld than on the SA coastline. It will favour the Boks against most teams in the semis, other than the All Blacks. 

CL
clevermikeCoach57,555 posts
15 Oct 2019, 20:18
#2
15 Oct 2019, 20:18#2

SB

I think the warm up game showed extreme tiredness on the part of the SA players and at the end of the game some looked really near to down and out.  I think the drier conditions would favour the Springboks more than it did in the warm-up game.  

It could be interesting to see the team selection for Sunday's game.   I think that the Japanese showed us their real strength playing high pace rugby and that may to an extent influence in particular the bench selection.   The only player from the starting line-up in the warm-up game that will not feature in the game on Sunday will be Mostert.   

I also think that the players that will be missed on the bench could be one of the scrummies and Steyn.   My guess is that Reinach may be the one who plays and that Willemse will be in the line-up, he has serious pace himself and could be a factor in attack together with the two wings,

  The problem is that Steyn has blown his chances by his poor defense against Canada and he has a serious level of pace-deficiency.  .   I do think that Willemse would replace Jantjies and Nkosi could replace Steyn.   I am not sure whether Erasmus will take another chance with Jantjies at flyhalf.   Since they are playing Japan and pace is a serious issue Louw may also not be on the bench. since they cannot have Louw and Vermeulen on the field the same because both are seriously pace-deficient.       

I think Erasmus is a shrewd operator and after the Canada game he said the team will have two rest days and then start preparing for the quarterfinal,   He also indicated that the team may have been determined already,   So lets wait for tomorrow or Thursday when I believe the team would be  announced.               

sharkbok
sharkbokCaptain23,246 posts
15 Oct 2019, 21:30
#3
15 Oct 2019, 21:30#3
Mostert may be pretty good in these conditions, as he is mobile and can get from ruck to ruck. Although he has not been in form this world cup, and barring injuries he probably will not make the bench team. 
Willemse has done little at test level so far, and he is also getting back from injury so I do not expect him in the team. He should be aiming for the next world cup, and settle in one position by then. 
Reinach is an upgraded Hougaard. Not a classical scrumhalf, but fast tempo games suit his style of play. He may play instead of Jantjies. It is a tough one, as Jantjies could be better in a tight test match where more classical scrumhalf basics are required. I expect Faff to start. Faff needs to improve quickly, and stop of the Box kick nonsense, as he is just a poor executor of this strategy. 

Kolisi could also be better in these faster conditions, let's hope so as his work rate has been minimal so far. Expect him to be subbed in the 55th minute if he does not up his game. 
Louw will be on the bench as the only specialist number 6 fetcher. Vermuelen is the best Bok loose forward- and he will certainly start. 
Elton Jantjies could suit a faster-paced game, but no one knows if Jackle or Hyde will turn up. Frans Steyn will be on the bench as he the most utility back value. 
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