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FORUM / RUGBY /  Serfontein's mediocre stats

Serfontein's mediocre stats

Started by Mozart12 REPLIES272 VIEWS· 31 Oct 2014, 23:05
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MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
31 Oct 2014, 23:05
#1
31 Oct 2014, 23:05#1

I read how well Serfontein did, how impregnable his defence is....how he adds attacking flair to the Bok backline. Here are the aggregate facts for his international season:


59 runs for 191 metres at 3.23 metres per run


4 clean breaks....he makes a break 6 per cent of the time


11 defenders beaten....it takes more than 5 runs for him to beat a defender



He offloaded 3 times in all the tests.


He made 83 tackles and missed 14 for a success ratio of 85 per cent. On average he made 12 tackles a game, which is above average.



But these are very mediocre numbers.....much, much worse than the maligned Adi Jacobs in 2008.  What exactly posters are seeing in this bog ordinary centre is a bit of a mystery


BI
biltongbekClub Pro749 posts
31 Oct 2014, 23:24
#2
31 Oct 2014, 23:24#2
Where is the comparitive stats for Jacobs, I distinctly remember him being a barn door in defence, and he tucked the ball so tight under his arms when running he couldn't pass.

MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
31 Oct 2014, 23:25
#3
31 Oct 2014, 23:25#3

By contrast this is Adi Jacobs in 2008:

 

21 runs for 148 metres at 7.04 metres a carry

 

3 clean breaks for a clean break 14 per cent of the time

 

5 defenders beaten it took him 4 runs to beat a defender

 

he made 33 of his 36 tackles for a success ratio of 92%.

 

 

And these stats came only from the TN in 2008....no easy games against Scotland or Wales thrown in. Still in every stat Jacobs was succesful, sometimes twice as successful.

 

 

Yet Jacobs, like de Jongh today,was  written off, where a perfectly ordinary centre like Steppie is showered with praise. It's all in the biased eye of the beholder....Steppie is no better than Wynand or Ettiene Botha, two other very similar Bools centres . Just another inside stepper setting up phase ball.

SH
ShezzaPro2,471 posts
31 Oct 2014, 23:34
#4
31 Oct 2014, 23:34#4
 He's a 12 playing 13 re tard.
BI
biltongbekClub Pro749 posts
31 Oct 2014, 23:48
#5
31 Oct 2014, 23:48#5

 Mozart, a few issues with your stats and comparisons.


Which website did you use for your stats?

Which matches did you use for your stats?

You are aware that Serfontein is playing his first season at 13?

You are aware that you are comparing different eras?


Those tackle stats simply sounds wrong, Jacobs was a turnstyle in defence.


sharkbok
sharkbokCaptain23,293 posts
31 Oct 2014, 23:50
#6
31 Oct 2014, 23:50#6
Serfontein had a good 1st season where he looked good with ball in hand. 
His defence is very good. When playing away against NZ I dont think I have ever seen so many runs by the All Blacks that did not get clean breaks.He has the offensive tackling technique pushing players back, or totally out of position to place the ball well. He has a techique of allmost lifting the player in the tackle to rough up the ball carrier. 
Jaque Fourie can also be an offensive tackler. Both are excellant on positional play on defence, and I think it would be a wall trying to get through.
When the Stormers defence was at its best in 2011/12 time when Fourie was playing, it was probably the best defence ever by any team in the SuperXV. When Fourie left the Stormers, their defense was still excellant both nothing like it was with Fourie at 13. Apparently he organises the defensive lines. With him combining with Serfontein, if the Boks dominate possesion any team will struggle to score a try.
I do have some reservations about how much pace either centre has, but these 2 combined with Pollard would be a very strong defence. 
Jean is typically good at defence but he drifts out of the backline to often.

MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
01 Nov 2014, 00:07
#7
01 Nov 2014, 00:07#7
 I compiled the stats from EsPn stats guru....they have been challenged and successfully defended before. You also need to remember we won only 2 of our 6 TN matches that year....vs 4 out of 6 this year. That makes the 2008 numbers more of a challenge.
SB on Step's defence, sure Step is good head on....what about side on. Conrad Smith and Speight beat him rather easily through the outside gap. Teams will figure out he has an acceleration and pace problem.

He is a 12 at best, certainly not a 13. Still I can't see what he brings in the 12 channel. He seems like a nice kid, and I was impressed with the agony on his face as Smith broke outside him...he cared. But in the jungle of test rugby being likable  counts for little.
BI
biltongbekClub Pro749 posts
01 Nov 2014, 00:14
#8
01 Nov 2014, 00:14#8

On defence you cannot fault Jan, having Jean de Villiers who broke the line frequently on defence puts everyone on the wrong foot.


De Villiers by my count cost us three tries in the last two matches of the RC.


ALso remember when Serfontain was player of the JWC he had WIlliam SMall SMith at his outside.  

MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
01 Nov 2014, 00:23
#9
01 Nov 2014, 00:23#9
 Not to be argumentative, but Jean is doing what he always does.....force outside in by rushing up. But the line needs to move with him. On a few occasions there was a kink in the line, with Serfontein further back....jean and the wings forward. Taute and JJ fell into the same trap.

When Jean played with Fury they choked the opponents by getting forward fast...Jean still is but Jan tends to hang deeper. Is it the chicken or the egg?
BI
biltongbekClub Pro749 posts
01 Nov 2014, 00:26
#10
01 Nov 2014, 00:26#10

Not going to agree with you entirely, yes there are times where it is a deliberate move from Jean to cut off the outside backs, but that move is well rehearsed and known, it is also done well before the ball comes wide.


It is his sniping out of the line when the ball is being passed between midfielders and or wingers where he breaks the line and there is no time to adjust for his co defenders.  

SA
Saffolk Captain30,741 posts
01 Nov 2014, 01:10
#11
01 Nov 2014, 01:10#11
 Adi Jacob s was a bloody insult
MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
01 Nov 2014, 01:16
#12
01 Nov 2014, 01:16#12
BB I think it's fair to say both Jean and Habana have been caught out more than in the past...but some incidents like the Fekitoa try were a roll of the dice. Wait in formation and watch the double overlap work...or take a risk. Jean and Fury have always used the rush defence and mostly successfully.
We do need a new generation of the Jean/ Fury combination....but while there are several options nobody has done the business yet.  
CL
clevermikeCoach57,555 posts
01 Nov 2014, 04:49
#13
01 Nov 2014, 04:49#13
 Mozart
A 15% missed tackle ratio is in fact very good - so Serfontein can really not be faulted.  However, there is a real problem - Jean de Villiers rushed out of the defensive line and nobody else can be blamed for the gap in defense created.   That gap has resulted in the scoring of a number of tries because Jean has no way of stopping the move of the ball that way.  To state that other players should do the same is utter nonsence.   
The second issue is the Outside center situation as to attacking play.   Jacobs is history long gone - so what makes his performance pertinent to the present situation?   You might as well for that matter make a comparison with Danie Gerber and say that Serfontein is poor compared to Gerber.
Why not look at present contenders for the 13 position?  Jacque Fourie played in three tests and carried the ball 9 times for a total meter gain of 13 meters - ie a gain of 1,44 meters   Serfontein played in 2 tests in that position this year and handled the ball 23 times for a meter gain of 82 meters - ie   an average carry of 3,56 meters per carry.
Serfontein was worse in defense than Fourie - but 3 times better than Fourie in ball carries.   Fourie's tests included one against the Scots - one of the poorest NH teams on the SA visiting schedule - Serfontein played against the AB's and the Wallabies.  Both did not show reasonable attacking play - but Fourie was in fact atrociously poor bordering ont he non-existent.       
One cannot fall back on history and say the De Villiers-Fourie combination at its prime was effective when these two players were at their prime.   Neither of them are at ther prome at presennt.   
Where you are correct is that we need a new generation of centers - but we have to work with what is available and the cupboard is at present not crowded with real contenders - bar for two rookis in Serfontein and De Allende.   Both are in reality inside centers and up to theis year played adult rugby as 12's.  Any center will have to adjust to the 13 poistion and it will take time.    
All the players who has been playing their adult rugby at 13 there are really contenders for selection.  Those included the defense deficient De Jongh - who failed dismally in his last two tests at 13 in 2012 - and the two very average players Hanekom and Jordaan - both being out of contention this year because of rather serious injuries. 
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