The French team were just good enough to tie with Italy. But admittedly they played a man down, losing the second half by 7 points. A bit less than the model predicted….but if the Italian kicker was a Pollard, it would have been the exact model 10 points.
The ten points we should have put over NZ, rather than the 1 point we won by.
In the meantime, Scotland thrashes the Poms by 30 points to 21, showing again the safety first tactics Eluckmiss used against the Poms just put the WC at risk and making a mockery of our 1 point win.
Amazing how the data comes together to reinforce the points I have been making.. France was vastly overrated but should have beaten us. England was there for the thrashing but we were lucky to win. And NZ were by far the better team, but it’s a ten point handicap per 40 minutes.
Critically these games are frequently won or lost by the kicker.