Ex Supersport
It is not very likely that the Bulls will be looking to the works of famed physicist Albert Einstein this week as they try to plug the holes in that sieve they call a defence. But if you ask us, that is exactly what they should do. No, we are not about to delve into the intricacies of General Relativity just to find ways of stopping an average attack like that of the Rebels from running you off the park. We’re just saying that they are mad to defend the way they are currently. And it is on the subject of madness that we call on old Albert’s wisdom. (Guess where the Boks defensive coach comes from) It is he who once described insanity as “doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results”. Almost as if he’s just seen the 'pink panthers' defend. (hahahahahahaha good one!) The problem, of course, lies in the changes they made to their defensive system. Gone are the days of moving up in unison, cutting down space and crushing any runner who dares to make contact. Instead the Bulls now hang back, waiting for the hit, trying their best to keep the ball and whoever is attached to it off the ground. It is an experiment that was worth taking, because a ball off the ground in contact is considered a maul, and after an off-season law change, a collapsed maul is a guaranteed turnover. They also have more than enough upper-body strength throughout the team to pull it off, especially against the smaller Australian backlines. It’s rugby’s take on Muhammad Ali’s rope-a-dope. Except that in practice the exact opposite has happened. What they ended up doing was giving the Brumbies and the Rebels space to run - the one thing Australian backs need to thrive. And whenever there was a stationary tight forward defending out in the open, the results were almost comical. Even when contact was made, the Bulls conceded several metres in every tackle, pretty much handing the opposing attack go-forward ball. The upshot is the worst “tries against” record in the top six of the Super Rugby log, and some seriously inflated Australian egos. Which brings us back to that Einstein quote. If the Bulls expect different results from their defence against the Waratahs on Friday, they will be seriously mistaken. They cannot allow the likes of Sarel Pretorius and Daniel Halangahu to have a free run at them, because the damage could be much worse than that inflicted by an already-beaten Brumbies outfit or a limping Kurtley Beale. They need to realise that their physical defence is one of their biggest weapons, and they have to look no further than their decimation of the frail Reds backline earlier this season for inspiration. Or perhaps the Springboks’ Tri-Nations campaign of 2004, which had a trophy as proof that rushing forward and knocking the living daylights out of anyone who even looks at the ball is the only way South Africans know how to defend. Sure, keep the ball up and win turnovers that way - Springbok legend Andre Venter showed the way years ago. But do so when the opportunity presents itself. Don’t base your entire defensive system on it. It’s not working now, and it certainly won’t when you face the likes of Sonny Bill Williams and Hosea Gear later on this tour. We can already hear the more optimistic among you counter our argument with the trusted “If at first you don’t succeed, try and try again.” Sure, except that in this case the word ‘try’ may have a very different meaning Nobody can deny that there is a problem with the bulle defence so is this the answer. I tend to agree.The sieve the bulle call their defence
There has been more tries scored against the Bulls - 21 tries - tand taking into account the number against the Stormers - 9 tries - we have a situation that the Bulls defence can really be stated as extremely useless. However, it may be not the fault of the coach - but players themselves. Steyn's defence was always poor and Olivier's not much better. Two players with defence deficiencies playing together is really a major problem.
I'll be pleasantly surprised if the Bulls win this one,they seem rudderless without decent leadership besides having a porous defence. I'm not saying that the 'Tahs are good but the loss of Victor and the other hardheads is going to take it's toll......the Bulls need to find their mojo quicksmart.
The Bulls have the second highest try difference stats in the competition. The Chiefs are leading with 16, followed by the Bulls and the Brumbies at 12. In addition they have scored the second most tries, on less than the Hurricanes who have scored 34. Yes, the Stormers have only given away 9 tries, but they have also scored only 16. The reason, IMO, is that they are kicking the ball away. Hahahaha. The Stormers kicking the ball away? Yes, go check the stats.
At the end of week 10, Morne Steyn has made 63 tackles than, the highest indivdual tackle rate in the team. With only 7 missed tackles, he has a tackle success rate of 90%.
Wynand Olivier has made 57 tackles and missed 6......... also 90% successfull.
The Bulls had two poor defensive games. The one against the Brumbies, and the one against the Reds. Despite that, their try difference stats is still in the top three and they scored the second most tries. If they have players who are not doing their bit in defence, it is not Morne Steyn and Wynand Olivier.
Compare the Bulls 10 and 12 to the Stormers.
Peter Grant's tackles made/missed/% figures are 58/14/81%
Jean de Villiers' figures are 67/3/97%
So, the total between MS and WO, compared to that of PG and JDV are
MS/WO: 120/13/90.22%
PG/JDV: 125/17/88.02%
For every try the Bulls score, they give away 1.47 tries. For every try the Stormers score, they give away 1.77. Who are, proporsionally, leaking the most tries?
Yeah last I checked the Bulls were 2nd on the table, with a game in hand - poor things are really struggling!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Some comments by windpomp
"Yes, the Stormers have only given away 9 tries, but they have also scored only 16"
Yes I agree the Stormers BIG problem is that they score so few tries and as I noted bonus points not earned are a problem.
"For every try the Bulls score, they give away 1.47 tries. For every try the Stormers score, they give away 1.77. Who are, proporsionally, leaking the most tries"?
Now this is where ou windpomp goes haywire. He tries to use irrational stats to prove the bulle are somehow better defensively.
Oh what a twister!! What a classic misuse of stats - Even Barny would be blushing red!!!!
Hahahahahhahahahaha this is rolling in the aisles stuff!
Yes lets not be too harsh on the bulle guys - look at the log it says it all.
A bit of role reversal here. The Bulls are playing attacking rugby ala The Stormers a few years back, and the Stormers are playing 10 man rugby, ala Bulls a few years back. Interesting, that both teams are doing well using each other's tactics.
I am gonna go out on a limb here, but ever since the Boks decided they wanted the Bulls defence coach the Bulls have looked vulnerable in that area. People tend to forget that half the Bulls coaching team have decided to head for the Springbok camp. I feel this is going to disrupt the Bulls...and unfortuantely, just before a couple of really tough games. Still feel the Boks should've gone with Nienaber from the Stormers. Although, the Bulls defence on a whole this season has not been that bad. They have had three games where they leaked a few too many tries, Reds, Brumbies and Rebels, but they still won all three games. Anyway, I am very tired and probably rambling a little, so I'll shut up.
Tired or not you are still making sense. Bulle will consider their season a success thus far.
Bluebok, I do not agree that the Bulls are playing a different strategy. They have always had a strategy that was a mixture of running and tactical kicking. Their wings have always been in among the top try scorers. In a very simpistic way you can say that they kick and chase from inside their own 22 and start running from inside the opponents half. I have comprehensive stats available for all the teams and unfortunately the site that I get it from has been blocked for the public since last week, but I have downloaded what was still available. It records each and every kick, etc and it reflects, where the kiskes were taken from, what was the outcome, etc. The essence of that is that you require a kicker who can accurately get the ball down exactly where it is required to come down. In addition, you require your chasers to be able to follow up and win the ball back. If you do not have that, you are doomed.
That is as far as the kicking goes. Apart from that, they have always been able to run the right ball and score tries, and they do that when within range and in the best circumstances.


