I sometimes wonder about what is going on in the World. In a book Dinner with Mugabe it was said that he was kept completely in the dark about the situation of his people - he was told by the only State-owned papers he read and by radio and TV how wonderful a life they were leading and never told of mass starvation and murderous campaigns initiated by some of his supporters. He lived completely isolated from reality.
Now back to rugby and our coach Meyer - does he ever read the stinging critical comments of people on performance of his team? There is no sign that he knows that according to serious criticism the key to the problems encountered by his team is related to two issues, namely -
* a totally out-of-date game plan; and
* the obvious lack of a skills development programme to cater for modern rugby.
If indeed he is as reported of the opinion that we do not have skillful backline players and are forced to play a sterile type of game what is he doing about changing all of that? I believe nothing is being done and the only thing he is doing is to enhance skills to implement the said sterile game plan. Can this really be a successful formula? Nobody seems to think so.
I think that we have lost the plot in rugby and unlike the case is in cricket - we arre in rugby going down the drain. Like in soccer we are going to go down and down - not because of poor players, but because of poor coaching. The lack of performance in both those two codes of sport resulted in the coaching job being regarded as a poisoned chalice - but I believe that the coaches are bringing it onto themselves.
Now lets look at the situation and compare the issue of coaching. There is little doubbt that the best coach in cricket is Kirsten. He was not appreciated in SA as a coach and went to coach India with remarkable success. After taking Indian cricket to new heights never experienced before - he decided for personal circumstances to SA and through some strange circumstances was appointed as SA coach. Within six months SA is the top cricket team in the world - no 1 in all three formats of the game. he basically had the same squad of players available than his predecessors - but was also prepared to bring in new blood and particularly to develop the skills of existing players.
In the case of rugby - the indications are exactly otherwise. Meyer came in with a group of coaching staff with completely outdated beliefs in how rugby is to be played. He apparantly does believe in a certain format of the game and that format has been used in SA for years with relatively isolated successes like in the 2007 WC. However, there were some issues in 2007 that is different from today - the game plan did allow for variation. Coachung allowed for a more comprehensive game plan as well.
Back to 2012 and we have a case of a game plan that is so limited and centered around a kick and chase game and poor backline play that it is really destructive. I have noticed that even players with potential as top players in the world like Francois Steyn and Hougaard have becoime robotic and there is little enthusiasm displayed by the players.
I think there are key players that has lost heart and are only going through the motions - not playing with enthusiasm. We were lucky to win in the English series against a English team that had more inexperienced players and a new coach han ever before in the last ten years. Wins were with smallish margins and was drummed up by people as the start oif a new era of competitiveness by the Springboks - but was that really the case. It was becoming evident that the new coaches in the English squad analyzed what happened in the first two tests and in the thrid test devised the counter-measures needed and we were lucky to draw that game. In the case of the Argentinians it also took only one test to devise counter-measures against the Meyer game plan and we were indeed lucky not to lose the test in Mendoza.
However, in the case of Australia and New Zealand an initial loss would not be required - they know exactly what to expect from the Super 15 experiences and one can only wonder what is going to happen over the enxt three weeks. Ending up bottom of the log in the Championship is going to be a disaster - and a further one can be expected in the End of Year Tour. What will happen then?
There will be two consequences - both with potential positive outcomes - but not necessarily so. Meyer could be forced into changing his game plan and introduce modern rugby techniques or he can be fired if he is not ppared to adjust to the latest rugby game scenario. Why does he not realize that - or is he not really interested and aware of the unhappiness already shown in the media and can he not read the danger signs emerging?
I am waiting with interest to see what is going to happen when he announce the squad for the away legs of the Championships - he has a chance to come up with something special and start afresh - but the indications are all negative and he will be trying to coach Steyn ad Hougaard "how to improve their kicking skills" and nothing else.
The other danger sign is that players can lose their own beliefs in themselves and play like robots - already in some way in evidence. We do not really know what happens behind closed doors - but such things in the modern era cannot be kept under wraps. The quoted article refers to the major breakdown between Mattfield - who wanted to be captain of the Springboks - and Jake White. That resulted in the main in the end of Jake White as a coach - and there was some indications that Meyer was also involved in efforts to get rid of White and replace him as SA coach. If that was the case - we can expect to see all the negative results that is coming through now.