It is always difficult to understand what is happening So lets look at the results this year compared to the 2020 election in the first instance and see why there is a trend going on in Michigan and the possible inpact in the November 2024 election.
The 2020 and 2024 Primaries
Democratic Party 2020 2024
Total number of votes cast 1 587 679 820 050
Voted for Biden 840 360 - 52% 648 614 - 81,1%
Republican Party 2020 2024
Total number of votes cast 683 850 1 108 820
Voted for Trump 640 152 93,7% 820 850 - 68,2%
Summary
The Democratic Party problems
Michigan in the main a working class state with a large Black community who voted Democrat in the past - as well as the 14th State when it comes to elderly people living there, So why is the above situation alarming insofar as the Democrats are concerned. A further fact is that circa 20% of the Democrat voters voted for "non-committd" in the election.
The [people who voted "Non-Committed" came from where? and why could that have a serious impact on the 2024 election? the following must be borne in mind;-
* According to opinion polls Biden is extremely unpopular - aside from the fact that people believe he is psychologically unfit to be President,
* According to other surveys - an important component of the community that voted solidly for the Democrats in the past is extremely unhappy with the Biden Regime and 22% of the Blacks said they are not going to vote this year and 20% said that they are going to vote for Trump this year. It seems that 22% - in view of the illegal migrant problem the 22% if they vote would probably vote for Trump. The perception in the Black and Hispanic Communities here is a general perception that the US Government treats migrants better than they treat the poor in the USA.
* In Michigan there is a large Muslim community as well. That was mentioned by Beeno already - but it was also reflected in a vide clip of MSNBC
* Due to inflation the people with limited resources became food -deficient. They just not have the money to buy all required groceries, Especially in the working class the people said they ere better off under Trump than they are at present.
Position of Trump
He got about 170 000 more votes than Biden did. The reasons for decline in support of the Democratic Party led to their changed attitude to Trump. Would the people who voted for Haley return to the Democrats - some no doubt will - the majority will not. Th ey are likely not to vote or not vote at all.
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