I am not sure whether the obvious disaster Biden and Harris are will mean a direct benefit for the Republicans. in the mid-term election. There is a by-election in Texas on Tuesday in a House District where 80% of the voters are Hispanics. This District was always regarded as a Democratic Party stronghold rated by the pollsters as Solid Democrat - but Biden won it by only 2,5 points in 2020 and the same pollsters rate it as a toss-up now.
Based on what happened in Virginia and New Jersey - where Biden won by 10 and 26 points respectively if the opinion polls iro the Hispanics are true the strong Republican candidate may win by as many as 10 points in this by-election. If the Republicans win this one by more than 10 points the Democrats will loose about 80 seats in the House in the mid-term election, while they would lose all five marginal seats in the Senate.
I see that the Democrats have given up on fielding an acceptable candidate in the Senate election in Alaska and is now supporting Murkovski's re-election as Senator. She has done herself in by supporting the Democrats and especially the oil production in Alaska is under threat by them as a result. Both Tshibaka and Palin have been endorsed by Trump and they may be elected as replacements in the House and Senate seats - the latter House special election was yesterday - but the results could take up to 14 days to finalize - since they have a complicated preferential vote system in Alaska, The top four candidates goes through to the run-off unless one of the candidates get 50% of the vote in the first round and there is no run-off election. The pollsters suggest a run-off will be possible - but lets wait and see what happens. Here again the Democrats seems to support a Murkowski surrogate ahead of their own candidates.
The other interesting mid-term election would be relating to Wyoming and Cheney. She is now effectively the Democratic Party candidate in that State - she has only 18% support in the Republican Part primary election and there is zero chance that she would be nominaated by the Republicans as candidate. Her comments on the 6 January Committee will be her final goodbye in Wyoming and she is trying to raise money countrywide to fight the Wyoming election. For the time being she has the support of some RINO senators - but that would dry up if she loses the primary election run-off with only Romney and Murkowski supporting her after that and should she try to run as an Independent in the Election in November. While the latter two are still claiming that they are still Republican Party supporters are really amazing. According to Cheney who claims she is a Conservative - but I think the only conserve she is interested in is retaining of her and he father's kick back money from the Arms Industry.
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