Beneo posts propaganda on site - I do not care what he comes up with as I believe a real analysis of what is happening in the UK situation is necessary - but that is way beyond his capacity.
When it comes to the EU election later this month one has to look at some indicators as to what happened in the Local authority elections last week and is likely to happen in the case of the EU election later this month.
Local Government Elections
I am afraid that there were some bad signs for both major parties in the UK as is evidenced by the following:-
* The new Brexit Party in England did not nominate candidates to participate in the elections, since I believe they were more interested in organizing themselves to participate in the EU election later this month.
* There was an unusual low turn-out of voters for the elections.. A subsequent survey found that most of the electorate said they were not voting because the Government refuses to recognize and even try to undermine what they voted for in 2016 in Brexit referendum. Others went to the polls and wrote on ballot papers Brexit and thus spoiled their votes.
* The results were a disaster for both the Labour and Conservative Parties. A very large number of voters in favour of Remaining in the EU deserted the two parties and voted for the Liberal Democrats and independent and unallied candidates.
Those are both bad signs for the two main parties and both major parties are in disarray at present. They are tendering for disaster in future elections/
The European Parliamentary Elections later this month
Signs are that both the EU and the main political parties are c0nspiring to prevent participation by the UK residents in the election. It would no be surprising if the Conservative and Labour Parties would try and get acceptance for the so-called UK Exit Deal before the elections actually take place - thus cancelling the voting at the last minute.
The EU do not want a huge component of Brexit members in Parliament and the two parties mentioned are afraid as to what could potentially happen in the EU election. Combined they may just get les votes than the Brexit Party would and that would be a huge embarrassment for them.
There would be a total revolt in the Conservative Party that could lead to removal of CP leader and she may not get caucus approval to work with the Labour Party. Such a situation would cause major problems for her as if she proceeds with the help of the Labour members. That could lead to chaos. The CP members already opposed to the Deal could submit a motion of no confidence in May - which would put the Labour and Scottish Nationalists in a jam. If they vote against the motion they would be in trouble as well.
This really has a really funny implication for the two major parties in the UK and could have unforeseen consequences as to UK politics.