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FORUM / MIKES GRIPES /  Huge win for Crypto

Huge win for Crypto

Started by Plum22 REPLIES1,311 VIEWS· 11 Jan 2024, 07:26
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PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
11 Jan 2024, 07:26
#1
11 Jan 2024, 07:26#1

10 January 2024 marked a historic day for crypto as the SEC approved BitCoin spot ETFs for a variety of funds. R ead more here.


15 years prior, to the day, the first BitCoin node went live. 


For the non-financial people here, the BTC spot ETF means that the general public can now get exposure to the most successful asset class of the last 20 years through traditional brokerage accounts. This is a massive deal. It means that you don't need to understand the nuances of self-storage, exchanges, and all the other semi-technical terms that were a must if you wanted exposure previously. And it also means that institutional money is going to come flooding into BitCoin.


Looking back over the last few years, Crypto has completely outmatched the SEC. Gary and his goons have been in a perpetual war with Blockchain and they have yet to prosecute any chain successfully. 


To my mind, yesterday's decision was a gut punch to traditional banking. 


Blockchain is here to stay and we're roughly 600 days away from the peak of the next bull run...and it's gonna be a face melter. 


PS I'm anticipating Beeno coming onto this thread to tell me that CBDCs and BTC are the same thing. 


PSS To Beeno, they are not the same thing and I have gone to great lengths to explain this to you in the past, so before you make your inevitable post, please go an re-read my explanation







 

PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
11 Jan 2024, 09:21
#2
11 Jan 2024, 09:21#2

Bump

MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
12 Jan 2024, 02:04
#3
12 Jan 2024, 02:04#3

Plum I see Grayscale is filing for a covered  call ETF. Selling calls on bitcoin could generate regular income for Bitcoin ETF investors. They probably see this as a point of differentiation from gold…making the crypto more like a stock or bond.

And with the high volatility the calls could be pricy, generating a good income flow.

But it seems like a mismatched investment…if you want income, you are looking for security, that’s not bitcoin.

So you could sell a series of covered calls offsetting a price downturn. But you’d have to be smart enough to stop, otherwise your position will be called away at a trough the moment the price spikes.

And if your bitcoin goes up from the off it gets called away given how sharp the price moves are. Still this is the better outcome and you can always reload….the risk here is actually getting the income stream and registering a capital loss.

To me crypto already has the volatility of an option. Writing an option against it seems as if it dilutes the proposition…. an upward trend with lots of volatility.

But where you buy is a factor. I’m up about 54% in my bitcoin position, but I pretty much bought at a range peak, much higher returns were possible,

BE
Beeno1Captain40,032 posts
12 Jan 2024, 10:21
#4
12 Jan 2024, 10:21#4

What poor Plumster needs to understand is that the Globalists are after a monetary system they completely control. 

So take heed Plumpster at some point they will shut down the whole crypto market. They intend to control absolutely everything.

The trick will be to exit in time.

The only survivor if the Globalists get their way is a world wide CBDC. They will not allow their control of humanity of which the monetary system is key to be flouted by crypto currencies. 

I don't think you appreciate what the stakes are. 

You seem to be pretending that the Globalists of the WEF don't exist. I suggest they be taken seriously. 

I trust also you understand you are now in league with one of the scoundrels. The notorious Mozzietard who now is arguing Nienaber was the reason for the success Rassie had. One ruse after another and you think he is a fair commentator. Hahahahahahaha. 



PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
12 Jan 2024, 18:40
#5
12 Jan 2024, 18:40#5
Moz "To me crypto already has the volatility of an option. Writing an option against it seems as if it dilutes the proposition…. an upward trend with lots of volatility." Agreed. Now that BTC looks like it's gonna go mainstream, it's gonna be interesting to see the legacy banking community overlay their brainpower and strategies onto it. I'm sure there'll be some successful plays though. I think BTC gains will continue to outdo traditional stocks though. Just not by the insane amounts it did in previous years. To think, 4 years back you could have picked up 1BTC for around $3k. Today we're somewhere in a bear market, and it's worth 13x that. I think the next bull run will see it top out at around $100-140k...which is still a 3x from here. Honestly though, I'm happy BTC is smoothing the way but it's the scalable blockchains I'm more interested in. If BTC is gold then Solana and some other chains are copper(actually useful). I don't know if you saw the craziness that happened on the day prior to the ETF approval. The SEC's Twitter account was hacked and they tweeted that the ETF had been approved...which caused mass buying and then selling. Elon then tweeted that the official SEC account was hacked and didn't have two factor authentication on it. The resultant memes were epic haha Imagine that...the SEC's mandate is to protect investors, but it can't protect its own Twitter Account. I hear the FBI are now involved. Lol
MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
12 Jan 2024, 18:52
#6
12 Jan 2024, 18:52#6

Ja that was embarrassing for the SEC, given it’s the US the legal consequences  will interesting. With the buy the rumor, sell the event syndrome that seems to be the norm on Wall Street, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a modest bit coin pullback here.

PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
12 Jan 2024, 22:38
#7
12 Jan 2024, 22:38#7
Selling the news was pretty much what everybody was calling. With the fake approval being the perfect dress rehearsal...since the price pumped and then immediately dumped. When the actual approval came everyone was gun-shy. The general consensus is that this was the top of the bear market rally. It's getting the next low right that'll be key to cashing on the 2025 bull run. My favorite trader rates that $8-12k will be the true bottom of this cycle. I think anything under $28k is a steal. Had a bit of a kick myself trade a few months back. Bought Solana at $22 the day before it started pumping. It hit $124 a couple of weeks ago. ...but I got stopped out at $42 because I accidentally typed $42 is stead of $32...when the price had just gone over $40. So I made +-60% instead of close to $600%. How's that for self sabotage. lol school fees I suppose.
MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
13 Jan 2024, 02:57
#8
13 Jan 2024, 02:57#8

I have learned that lesson trading options…you have to be damn careful. I once was all set to put in a put spread at market close anticipating further market declines overnight. Buy a put at a higher price/sell a put at a lower price.

Fortunately I do have the discipline to simulate all my option trades under up/down assumptions. Then it occurred to me if the market tanked over night, my put buy would be priced too low and wouldn’t close….whereas my put sell would be under priced and transact instantly.

Which would have left me committed to buy the market at yesterday’s price, whereas I really wanted to sell. What seemed like a prudent trade, was a potential disaster.


MO
MozartCaptain49,914 posts
13 Jan 2024, 03:43
#9
13 Jan 2024, 03:43#9

Most options terminate out of the money…but you only have to be right once. It’s the only way to trade high risk stocks like Alibaba.

BO
bobbok...Captain10,129 posts
13 Jan 2024, 05:58
#10
13 Jan 2024, 05:58#10

makes sense

BO
bobbok...Captain10,129 posts
13 Jan 2024, 07:41
#11
13 Jan 2024, 07:41#11

goodluck

DA
Devil's AdvocatePro7,008 posts
05 Mar 2024, 15:08
#12
05 Mar 2024, 15:08#12

The JSE have opened up a new online trading competition for free, but with some very serious prizes.... where you get R1 million "Capital" to trade with, and the winner at the end of September gets some very decent prizes from what I understand.

The one rule is that you have to have spent at least 75% of your " Capital " before the end of the competition, with other various stipulations on individual share spending etc etc.

Registration is now open, and I thought some of you financial gurus here might be interested in having some fun...

Registration is here.

JSE Trading

PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
05 Mar 2024, 23:01
#13
05 Mar 2024, 23:01#13
Haha I'm far too busy DA. But thanks for the heads up. From time to time I do enter trading competitions on the exchanges I use. It's fun and a great way to learn how quickly one can lose a bunch of money. In fact, some exchanges let you "fake trade" with imaginary money. Some groups I'm in use that to run their own trading competitions too. Not sure if anybody heard, but... Bitcoin hit a new all time high today. lol mid cycle. Never happened before. The halving is next month and since Bitcoin began the halving every 4 years is generally what starts the bull run. The boomers don't care though. After the ETF simplified exposure to Bitcoin, they're selling their gold and buying BTC instead, not really giving a damn about where in the cycle we are. OTC desks were running out of Bitcoin yesterday. Absolute madness. Fun fact: One could have bought BTC on any day since it began and it would have outperformed 96% of asset managers. You could literally have bought a cycle top...and as long as you just held it for four years...only 4% of asset managers would have gotten you better gains. Let that sink in. And in other news, Bitcoin flipped silver's market cap this week too. What happens when it flips gold? When one looks at what happened to the gold price after its ETF approval versus the price of Bitcoin since its ETF...Gold's chart looks like a glider while BTC's is like a rocket. The definition of parabolic. For reference, gold's market cap is about $11 trillion. Bitcoin is currently at $1.24 trillion and all of crypto is at $2.45 trillion...and only now hitting semi-mainstream status. I'm gonna let you guys know when I think the next bottom is in. If you don't get on the train, that's on you.
SH
sharkbokCaptain23,196 posts
05 Mar 2024, 23:47
#14
05 Mar 2024, 23:47#14

ButtPlug, the individuals who have made money from crypto, are:
Millionaires with enough capital to purchase a large number of shares.

Millionaires who know when to sell. (This could be a matter of days, or even hours)

Investing, in general, only starts to make sense for people with a financial net worth closer to the 1 million mark. Otherwise, it is more like a pension when purchasing a small portion of shares. For most people, they would probably be better off freeing up their capital to work on trying to become richer.

Value is established by supply and demand; no technology is going to change that. How much would you pay for a glass of water? Nothing? What about if you were in a desert dying of thirst? (Supply and demand.) If you never had money to pay for the water, what guarantee could you provide that the debt will be paid? Collateral...

Crypto is unstable, and the next recession will destroy it again because it has no collateral. Even if governments backed crypto like a national currency to reduce risk, it would just become like any other currency. So there would be less risk, but also less reward.

It is like gambling; leave investment to experts — people who do this as their day-to-day job. If you have enough to invest, you have enough to pay an expert to advise you."


PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
06 Mar 2024, 06:20
#15
06 Mar 2024, 06:20#15
VisKop... Remember when I told you take £1,000.00 and buy FTM. Well, that was when FTM's value was $0.21. It's currently valued at $0.64. So you'd have made £300% by now. Is there any other fun that would have given you that gain over 18 months? At the actual bull market top it's likely going to go to $6 to $9. But let's assume that it only hits its previous all time high of $3.20. From the price I told you to buy at...that's still 1500% So...your £1000 would become £15,000.00 And then in the next cycle...we do the same. Meaning in 6 years we would have turned your £1000.00 into £225,000.00. Where in all of that did you need to be a millionaire? And I'm gonna demonstrate it to you. I know you never bought when I told you to. But I'm gonna tell you when to sell and then when to buy again. And then you're gonna look back at the original post I made and wanna kick yourself. The crypto skeptics are always there. The naysayers always the loudest. But the fact is that Bitcoin is the best performing asset class in human history...and it's still only at a market penetration of 10% and only captured a fraction of global liquidity. Anybody can invest in it, and its volatility means you don't have to invest millions.
DA
Devil's AdvocatePro7,008 posts
06 Mar 2024, 06:42
#16
06 Mar 2024, 06:42#16

Plum, what platforms / apps / programs are you using to invest / monitor / store Bitcoin?

PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
06 Mar 2024, 08:19
#17
06 Mar 2024, 08:19#17

Hi DA


To monitor the markets, including traditional markets...TradingView.com is the best by some distance. 

For buying Crypto you pretty much only need Binance or Coinbase and then a local exchange to use as an on-ramp(convert ZAR into USD stablecoins to purchase crypto)...something like Luno.

What are you looking to do? Them toes wanna be dipped in?

How's it going by the way?  

DA
Devil's AdvocatePro7,008 posts
06 Mar 2024, 13:55
#18
06 Mar 2024, 13:55#18

All good here thanks, I hope so that side as well ...

I'm just looking at what is all involved with Bitcoin and if I would really be interested in investing

If one knows absolutely nothing about it, like me, it could be a bit overwhelming when reading all the terminology and various processes, risks and all other aspects with investing in it.

PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
06 Mar 2024, 16:29
#19
06 Mar 2024, 16:29#19
Well the good thing is that after this peak there should be a reasonable dip in prices...maybe 40%. That would be the time to jump in. The next bull market peak is only supposed to be in 2025. So you have plenty of time, DA. There are lots of good YouTube pages that do a great job of explaining blockchain technology. I can suggest some if need be.
DA
Devil's AdvocatePro7,008 posts
07 Mar 2024, 06:25
#20
07 Mar 2024, 06:25#20

Shot Plum, that would be great


PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
07 Mar 2024, 07:19
#21
07 Mar 2024, 07:19#21

Start here...this guy is the best...



DA
Devil's AdvocatePro7,008 posts
07 Mar 2024, 08:31
#22
07 Mar 2024, 08:31#22

Thanks Plum

PL
PlumCaptain21,007 posts
07 Mar 2024, 18:59
#23
07 Mar 2024, 18:59#23
Hey VisKop... Your FTM trade would have been up 400% by now... FTM = $0.83 lol
— END OF THREAD —

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