Russians' support of Ukraine war collapses, finds poll
By
Joshua Askew
Published on
02/12/2023 - 08:00•Updated 04/12/2023 - 11:49 Share this articleComments
The Kremlin is worried about the political impact of war
disaffection leading up to the 2024 presidential election, according to a
US think tank.
Support for the Ukraine war in Russia has hit rock bottom, according to a recent poll.
The
independent pollster Chronicle found that the number of Russians who
fully support the invasion has almost halved since February 2023.
Their
survey revealed those who favour peace far outnumber pro-war voices,
with more Russians supporting the departure of the country's troops from
Ukraine than not.
Discussing the findings, the Insitute for the
Study of War (ISW) said on Friday the Kremlin was "likely concerned"
about how changing attitudes towards the war could affect the 2024
Russian presidential election.
The US-based think tank claimed
Vladimir Putin will centre his re-election campaign on "Russia’s alleged
domestic stability and increased criticism of the West instead of
focusing on the war."
Conducting polls in authoritarian states,
like Russia, is notoriously difficult. The Kremlin has criminalised
criticism of the war and spends millions on pro-war propaganda, meaning
they may not reflect the realities of the situation.
FILE
- A man in a peace march holds a poster with the slogan "Russians are
against the war" near the Russian Consulate General cordoned off by
police in Germany 2/5/22.Frank Rumpenhorst/(c) Copyright 2022, dpa (www.dpa.de). Alle Rechte vorbehalten
Chronicles,
founded by Russian opposition politician Aleksei Miniailo, says its
surveys offer an accurate snapshot of public opinion, however.
The
Moscow-based research group asked 1,199 adults across Russia a series
of questions in a phone poll between 17 and 22 October.
It found
the number of core war supporters - those who express "consistent"
approval of the war and want the invasion to continue until it has
achieved its goals - fell from 22% in February 2023 to 12% in October.
Chronicles'
survey revealed that 40% of Russians support the withdrawal of troops
from Ukraine without war aims being achieved. This number has remained
consistent throughout 2023.
Thirty-three
per cent were against exiting Ukraine and wanted the war to continue,
though this number has steadily fallen from 47% in February to 39% in
July.
One reason why support for the war is falling could be that Russians are increasingly feeling the pinch and seeing a more gloomy future due to the fallout from the invasion, as a separate survey has shown.
Polling by Chronicle echoed this, finding that 44% of respondents have experienced a decrease in family income.
Putin
announced a significant increase in military spending this week, with
about 30% of the country's budget directed toward the armed forces in
2024.
The survey also showed how the situation was impacting peoples' lives.
More than half of the Russian population (52%) recently faced anxiety or depression, u from around a third (32%) in March 2022.
Those on lower incomes were more likely to report negative mental effects.
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