A critical analysis of what to expect on Saturday is required - with special reference to performance by certain players is necessary. Indications are that it would be a very wet day and that would have a serious impact on the outcome - the weather being a great leveller in respect of the final outcome.
Kirchner - he will be peppered with high balls - his greatest weakness. Last Saturday the one ball kicked at him where the ball was contested - he lost the ball. One negative in our game plan. A number of backline moves - where he came into the backline - was destroyed by him trying to play crash ball rugby. His defence is also questionable - so a weak link in the Springbok set up.
Mvovo - played a reasonable game on Saturday - but was replaced by Hougaard, who was very good at wing - after being average as a scrummie. Mvovo's one weakness is his handling of high balls kicked at him - which could be a problem on Saturday. Likely to be replaced by Hougaard early in the game.
Francois Steyn - Many of the Argentinian players played with or against him in France and know his play well. He clearly was the worst player in the Springbok set-up in the first test. Likely to be weak again on Saturday and this can be a serious problem.
Morne Steyn - Wet conditions may result in a reversal of his play to the type of play in the PE test and kicking could be back as the preferred option - especially in view of the potential sub-par performance of Francois Steyn. His kicking game in the first test was better than in PE.
Hougaard in PE in wet conditions was poor - if repeated likely to be replaced early and moved to the wing.
Daniel was weak in the first test and his replacement by Alberts as number 8 is an improvement.
Potgieter is clueless and nothing much can be expected from him.
Strauss looked good in the first test - but for ball retention that should be improved.
Other than Lambie and Pienaar and with the possible exception of Cilliers - the bench looks weak. Liebenberg has the potential to give away too many penalties - which could impact on the outcome of the game should he be brought on.
In general I think - despite the criticism of certain players - the Springboks will win the test - but the margin of victory will be circa 6 to 9 points. The problem cases mentioned could lead to replacement of some of the players - which could have a major impact on the outcome of the game.


