The ASX is set to start the week on a high note as Wall Street rallied on the back of job numbers. At 8am AEDT, the ASX 200 index futures contract was pointing up by +0.5%.
On Friday, the S&P 500 rose by +1.11% , the blue chips Dow Jones index was up by +0.80%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lifted by +1.24%.
US traders hit the buy button after the US economy added 303,000 jobs in March, far more than the expectations of 205,000. At the same time, the US jobless rate slipped to 3.8% as participation rate rose.
Some experts warn that strong jobs figures like this one may not be good news for the market.
“This far stronger-than-expected jobs report, combined with a recent slew of data showing that inflation remains sticky, further exacerbates our expectation that the Fed will continue to be cautious with rates,” said de Vere Group’s Nigel Green.
“We expect that there will be a maximum of one rate cut this year – in the third quarter – followed by a pause in order to reassess the impact on the world’s largest economy.”
Others are however more optimistic.
“The US stock market is up +US$10trn over the past five months, which is a significant wealth gain for household balance sheets,” said a note on Slock.
“IPO activity is coming back and M&A activity is coming back. These factors will all support consumer spending, capex spending, and hiring over the coming quarters.”
To stocks, Trump Media fell -12% on no news. According to its filing last week, the company reported sales of just over US$4 million as net losses reached nearly $60 million for the full year.
Why didn’t the market panic after the strong jobs data?
The US jobs market is still red-hot, but why hasn’t the latest report made investors nervous that it might stop the Fed from cutting rates?
Because the report also found more Americans have joined the workforce.
According to the jobs report, 469,000 people entered the jobs market looking for work in March, raising the labor force participation rate from 62.5% to 62.7%.
The participation rate is a crucial metric, because a high rate indicates a robust jobs market and a strong economy.
On the other hand, a decreasing participation rate alongside a falling unemployment rate might indicate discouraged workers leaving the labour force, which could mask underlying weaknesses in the economy.