The fact is that the recall results must be seen against the background of the 2018 Governor election results. In the said election Newsom got 72,8% of the vote. In 2020 there was already s wing in results since 2018 to Trump in the 2020 results when the overall support dropped to 63.,94% and since then the support for the Democratsha dropped by a further near to 1%.
When analyzing the results in the counties -
* The four most populous counties - Sn Francisoc, Los Angeles , Sacramento and San FDiego there was on average by circa 1,5$; while
* In the other counties there was an average 5% decline in support for Biden.
In 2020 House electand ion the Democrats lost in four districts previously hld by them - confirming a swing from Democrat to Republican In 2022 the total number of districts to be contested has been reduced from 55 to 54 due to the departure of voters leaving California to other States.
However, that is history so lets look at the future. The 2020 has indicated a trend away from the democrats - hence the loss of House seats , which was confirmed again in the recall election.
That means that a further 4 districts has become vulnerable and idnications are that at least 3 of them will swing from Democrat to Republican in 2022.