Covid vaccines save an estimated 20 million lives

COVID vaccines reduced the potential global death toll during the pandemic by almost two-thirds in their first year, saving an estimated 19.8 million lives, according to a mathematical modeling study yesterday in The Lancet Infectious Diseases.

An additional 600,000 lives could have been spared if a World Health Organization (WHO) goal of vaccinating 40% of the population of every country by the end of 2021 had been met, the authors of the study say.

Vaccination cut deaths an estimated 63%

To estimate the impact of vaccination worldwide, researchers from Imperial College London used a proven model of COVID-19 spread using country-level data for official COVID deaths that occurred from Dec 8, 2020—when vaccines were first rolled out—to Dec 8, 2021. They conducted a separate analysis of expected excess deaths to account for under-reporting of COVID-19 deaths during the study period.

They then compared the two analyses with a scenario that didn't include vaccination to arrive at their estimates. The data spanned 185 countries and territories.

The model accounted for variation in vaccination rates between countries, as well as differences in vaccine efficacy in each country based on efficacy data for various vaccines. They excluded China from their analysis because its strict lockdowns and large population would have skewed the results.

The scientists estimated that 18.1 million deaths would have occurred during the study period without vaccination. Of those, the model estimated that vaccination prevented 14.4 million deaths, or 79%. When they accounted for under-reporting, however, they found that COVID vaccination prevented an estimated 19.8 million deaths out of a total of 31.4 million potential deaths that would have occurred without vaccination—a reduction of 63%.

Of those prevented deaths, they estimated that 15.5 million (78.2%) were due to direct vaccine effects. The remainder were due to indirect vaccine affects through reduced disease transmission and lower burden on healthcare systems.

The authors found that high- and upper-middle-income countries accounted for the greatest number of prevented deaths (12.2 million), highlighting inequalities in vaccine access. And they estimated that an additional 599,300 deaths could have been averted if the WHO's target of vaccinating 40% of the population in every country by the end of 2021 had been met.

And as I have argued before Trump has to get a lot of credit for sweeping away the bureaucratic constraints to getting a fast vaccine. For those people who dislike the man, it’s instructive to consider that unpleasant but competent people are sometimes most effective.

The vaccine acted only partially as a vaccine and very effectively as the best treatment for Covid. Whether there were side effects still has to be conclusively proven.

Proper vitamin D supplementation could have had the same effect. But our medical professionals are as ignorant about proper nutrition as the average citizen.

Agreed Pakie South Africa has a low vaccine rate and covid is basically a thing of the past...lots of lies still being told.

Mozzzz is despicable. Lying scumbag. I posted a great article by the Epoch Times outlining the dangers of the vaccine.

In the article you will see the trial results

 44,000 people in the trial half were vaccinated.  Now go and read the article and find out what happened the vaccinated people. It's mind blowing. 

Also understand that the CDC and FDA had access to this data before issuing the Emergency authorization. As Dr Naomi Wolf proved. 

They had also changed the definition of the vaccine to include the gene therapy and had declared that Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine were not effective  therapeutics as if they were Emergency authorization could not be given.

Quite right Pakster and Draad. The unvaccinated countries have fared far, far better.

Mozz is a shameful liar. A genocidal maniac. As for Trump he was clearly misled by the team traitor Pence put together to deal with the Plandemic. He got shouted down about Hydroxychloroquine. But at least he said everyone should decide for themselves.

You posted an article from Epoch Times….I posted an article from the Lancet, the world’s premier medical publication. The statistical method they used is sound, not based on assigned Covid deaths, but on overall population death rates. The only thing that could throw off the direction of the analysis is the emergence of a new morbidity….there wasn’t any.

The exact number is hard to be sure about, but there is no doubt at all, for most countries the vaccines saved many lives.

It’s also hard to see how I could be lying by simply reproducing an article from a credible source. Your problem HasBeen is you look for articles that gives the conclusion you want.

The vaccines were not Pence’s accomplishment, they were Trump’s. 

Lancet was involved in lying about Covid. They got caught. I posted the whole story and again you obviously didn't read it. It's like believing the liars at WHO. 

Away with your lies. 

No Lancet didn’t lie…the authors decided their data was unreliable:

‘The retractions came at the request of the authors of the studies, published last month, who were not directly involved with the data collection and sources, the journals said.

We can no longer vouch for the veracity of the primary data sources,” Mandeep Mehra of Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Frank Ruschitzka of University Hospital Zurich, and Amit Patel of University of Utah said in a statement issued by the Lancet. “Due to this unfortunate development, the authors request that the paper be retracted.”

Never had one lie proven on this site….nor had  any instances of genocidal mania documented. 

...lots of lies still being told

Draad, saw a video of the Australian congress or whatever today where the government health official STILL talks about protecting others even though it's been common knowledge since August 2020 when the CDC publicly admitted it that the vaccine can't prevent transmission. The narrative has been shot to shit but these stooges just keep regurgitating the script they've been fed.

Rooitwit mozz has consistently told people the vaxx are life saving when they are anything but. He shares a collective guilt with all those pushing this nonsense. A genocide has taken place as ions have died and suffered severe adverse events. This is still happening and who knows when it will end. If the MNRA changes your DNA and tricks your cells to produce spike proteins it may be permanent. And this the worse maybe yet to come. 

There is no excuse to still be pedaling this deadly deception. 

Proper vitamin D supplementation could have had the same effect.

We should have forced the anti-vaxxers to take the jab that would turn them into black people or LGBT. We have been phasing them out of the 21st century, and that was our chance to speed the procedure up.