MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
15 Oct 2015, 15:28#1
What we know from the Tokster so far is the following;
We have a 45% chance of beating NZ and 39% chance of winning the WC. So here is the equation:
w x .45 x oz = .39
Where w is the Wales probability and oz is the Australian probability. So...
w x oz =.39/.45 = .8667
Lets suppose we have a 100% chance of beating Wales, that would mean Tokkie at a minimum believes we have a 86.67% chance of beating Oz. Or if we concede Wales have a 5% chance, that would mean we have a 91% chance of beating Oz.
This from the guy who thought we were going to lose to Samoa. Can this get any more ludicrous. DA for the sake of this poor oke's dignity please dont ask him any more questions with numbers!!!!
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
15 Oct 2015, 16:54#3
But I'm afraid it has sailed woosh over the heads of the barking dogs....the logic these fellows come up with is distinctly stone age stuff.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
15 Oct 2015, 17:14#4
That from a coward who would not make any predictions - there is a thread dealing with the outcome predictions and 8 members have already responded. No further rubbish from this one and DF obviously
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
15 Oct 2015, 22:14#5
To predict or not to predict that is the question. And in your case it's better not to predict Tokkie. That way you wont look like a fool that doesn't understand rudimentary numbers.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
16 Oct 2015, 00:13#6
Balls - make an actual prediction and do no t pretend to think what I think will happen.
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
16 Oct 2015, 00:19#7
I made one prediction in this WC...the Boks over Samoa by at least 20, while the rest of you dogs were barking. As for this game, I said its 50:50. I have no idea how high the score will be, but given neither side seems to be very effective in scoring tries, 20/20 is my call. Boks to win in extra time.
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
16 Oct 2015, 00:31#8
OK - no scoring of tries - we will see about that tomorrow.
DEDezertFox
Pro2,288 posts
16 Oct 2015, 00:37#9
He said not very effective at scoring tries, not none at all!
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
16 Oct 2015, 00:58#10
Foeitog
The two thick heads backing each other up again.
I love this thread - use a warped impression to attack some of the team members and bemoan the absence of the matchlosers from the match-day sqaud.
DEDezertFox
Pro2,288 posts
16 Oct 2015, 01:04#11
Just stating a fact, I'm well aware of your conniving ways. Stick to what was said, don't create another fabrication.
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
16 Oct 2015, 04:50#12
Pervert this string is about how you have no clue when you quote odds.
Fox thanks for straightening out this mong. It's a tedious job.
MOMonsterBok
Club Pro442 posts
MOMonsterBokClub Pro442 posts
16 Oct 2015, 05:55#13
Which one of you is the B*tch in this relationship?
CLclevermike
Coach57,555 posts
CLclevermikeCoach57,555 posts
16 Oct 2015, 07:46#15
DF
You made quarterfinal predictions - much appreciated. Mozart is too much of a coward to commit to anything and he made comments always leaving an escape route. That is the sign of a real coward - sad to say.