A - GOP retain House and Senate
B - GOP retain Senate and demorats regain House
C - Demorats take Senate and House
D - GOP take House and demorats take Senate
Beeno prediction (against history and polling) - A
Rooinek - B (The general consensus view)
Very Clever Mike - A
Draad the bold - A
Blobbok - C
Bluebok - B
Come on oaks don't be scared. Nob ody knows the future but God and the worst that can happen is that you might be wrong!
Thanks rooinek! Updated on my original post.
I studied the opinion polls and am very hesitant about what may happen. The situation is that the country is so polarized that it is likely that "A" would prevail.
I think there is very little in the present scenario that could emulate things in the past and cause the kind of changes which happened regularly during previous elections.
* When changes did happen in the past the sitting Presidents at the time usually had a popularity rating in the low 40's and even of less than 40%. The present raring of T rump is 48% - not enough to change the political scene drastically.
* There used to be large centrist support base in the past that tended to vote not necessarily on party lines and they often went against the ruling president party in elections.
* Indications are that polarization in attitudes has resulted in the centrist voters diminishing and becoming less important than the case was in the past.
Ou maaaikie Trump at forty ei ght% is lower than reality. Putting you down as an A.
A
...and a couple of scandals...already some irregularities in Georgia: link
Draad be sure to watch that clip re Dr Dave Janda - A red wave etc
C
Rooinek
I am NOT a Trump supporter. As stated I always look at politics in an objective way and deals with the situation in the USA and elsewhere on that basis.
It appears that nobody ask questions as to why trends in politics develop in countries. The funny part of the answer is serious similarities in circumstances that cause political upheaval.
Take for instance the Rust Belt States which in 2016 was won by Trump and the Northern area of France (where industry was a major economic driver and the socialists and communists were politically extremely strong) after industrial collapse in the area due to EU regulations, it is now strong Marine Le Pen territory.
In both cases the reasons for industrial collapse were the same, The move to kill industry in areas basically have the same impact politically.
Nobody I believe can blame people if they get poorer and unemployed for reacting negatively when government policies in fact cause the problem or governments fail to take measures to correct the situation.
Fact is I gain the impression that the Democratic Party are happy when illegals flood the country and they can use them later on as voting fodder. It is always useful to get support from the people sidelined economically such as the flood of illegals at present in the USA - since any win by the Republican Party would threaten their future in the USA.
The same applies to left wing Governments in Europe. The support of parties in Government has deteriorated drastically in 2018 -
* with the approval rating of Macron in France at present at 31%; and
* the Governing parties in Germany - losing votes massively in recent State elections.
In Germany the main growth was in the rightwing AfD and to a much lesser extent to the parties on the extreme left. In Germany the AfD now is supported by circa 19% of the electorate - Merkel's Party by less than 30%. If Bavaria (always a very conservative state with their own political party that governed the state since 1952) but always supported the Merkel party in forming Federal Governments - is excluded Merkel's support base dropped to below 25% and the SDP to 15%. Even in Bavaria the AfD gained ground. Merkel in fact has resigned as her Party Chairperson .
I read extensively about what is happening and why. A recent article by a Harvard professor on the issue bemoan the lack of Government initiatives to alleviate the suffering of people stemming from their international economic policies - seemingly improving the situation of a small economic elite only and causing massive suffering by the working classes - so I am definitely not alone in what I wrote on this site.
In essence there needs to be a middle ground - but at present there is none in the USA and in Western Europe countries - in Central Europe (eg Poland, Slovakia and Hungary) the Right wing parties have taken over the Governments putting the EU at ever-increasing risk.
Ou maaaikie you still don't get what these globalists are up to. You still really don't know what they are trying to do to the EU and the USA. But maybe you will get there someday.
Rooitwit for months the Globalist propaganda fake news outlets have been telling everyone about the huge blue wave. My estimate of the GOP retaining the House and Senate is very much a minority view when it comes to the MSM and their polls. About as minority a view as Trump winning the presidency.
So far we have two A's and two B's and one C. So right now even on this board mine vs not the dominant view. Somebody explain the maths to poor rooitwit!
Step up and vote folks time is running out for you!
Come on guys no ducking the issue please!
Looks like B then.