I looked at what happened in the 2016 election compared to the forecast made by a company PPP.D made in respect of the 2020 presidential election:-
Minnesota
Clinton +7.9
10
93%
Virginia
Clinton +6.5
13
95%
Colorado
Clinton +4.8
9
88%
Pennsylvania
Clinton +4.1
20
89%
Wisconsin
Clinton +4.1
10
93%
New Hampshire
Clinton +3.1
4
80%
Michigan
Clinton +2.4
16
93%
North Carolina
Clinton +2.3
15
64% Clinton
Florida
Clinton +2.2
29
67%
Nevada
Clinton +2.1
6
68%
Ohio
Trump +1.9
18
53% Trump
Arizona
Trump +2.2
11
83%
Georgia
Trump +2.9
16
82%
Iowa
Trump +3.5
6
62% Trump
Missouri
Trump +8.1
10
9
He fact is that the situation was in fact as follows:-
Minnesota Clinton 1,5 out 6,4
Virginia Clinton 5,4 out 1,2
Colorado Clinton 4,9
Pennsylvania Trump 4,1 Cl out 4,8
Wisconsin Trump 4,1 Cl out 4.8
New Hampshire Clinton 3,1 out 2,8
Michigan Trump 2,4 Cl out 2,7
North Carolina Trump 2,3 Cl out 5.9
Florida Trump 2,2 Cl out 3,4
Ohio Trump 1,9 out 6,2
Arizona Trump 2,2 out 1,3
Georgia Trump 2,9 out 2,2
Iowa Trump 9,4 out 5,9
Missouri Trump 18,5 out 10,4
It seems from the above that there was a clear campaign in the 14 of he 15 states to discredit and understate the Trump support and –
* in five states that the pollsters claimed would be won by Clinton
* underestimates the trump support by between 1.3 and 10,4; with
* an average of 3,9% in respect of the above 15 states
There are allegations that some pollsters are more interested in getting people believe candidates of their choice win in elections and they have a real method to use polls for own political purposes and is aimed at making minority voters stay away from voting since their voting would be fruitless,
Have the polls for the 2020 in any event changed? The latest polls suggested that they are still doing the same, but with ever-larger percentages. According to PPP.D the various candidates of the DP would win by the following percentages:-
Biden : + 13
Sanders ; + 8
Harris : + 7
O’Rourke : + 6
Warren : + 6
Brooke : + 7
Buttigieg : + 4
Who or what is PPP.D ? They were on average 15% out in the 2016 elections polls and apparently are still doing the same in their campaign iro the 2020 election.