The recent Spanish election showed some interesting changes in its outcome and resulted in some real problems as to forming of the government - as well as some real problems iro the EU election.
The results as expected showed that no party can form a Government on its own and a new coalition will have to be concocted, but lets look at the parties involved:-
* The previous Spanish Governing Party - the People's Party - was severely punished for a string of corruption scandals and they elected a new leader after the Government collapsed in late 2018. The PP changed their leadership - but despite that there Parliamentary representation was reduced from 135 members to 66 members.
* The leftwing socialists went up from 85 members to 123 members by getting the most votes in the election
* The pseudo Communists (Podemos) went down from 71 members to 42 members
* The Citizen Party - no real policy direction but probably center right and Euro sceptic went up from 32 members to 57 members
* VOX - the most Euro-sceptic party in Spain regarded as rightwing got 47 182 votes in 2017 and had no parliamentary seats as a result. In the latest election the party got 2 677 173 votes gaining 24 seats.
* There were 8 minor parties that got 25 votes altogether - there are some leftwing - some rightwing and some centrists in that group,
The situation is that it would be extremely difficult to form a stable Government in Spain - the leftists got about 170 seats combined and that is not enough to form a stable Government, They would likely form a minority Government - but will be hamstrung and not be able to make major changes that especially the pseudo-Communists want,
So what is likely to happen in the upcoming EU elections - very difficult to say, but at this stage the representation is as follows:-
Peoples Party = 17 members
Leftists = 37 members
If the trends set out about the chances are that the split will be as follows:-
Peoples Party = 12 members
Leftists = 25 members
EU sceptics = 17 members
There is a trend for euro-sceptic parties to do better in EU elections than they do in home country elections - eg UKIP in the UK - so the above allocation may change substantially in the EU elections.