SHsharkbok
Captain23,205 posts
SHsharkbokCaptain23,205 posts
30 Oct 2020, 05:42#3
Deaths always take about 2 weeks to catch up the spike of reported infections.
There is also a metric like conversion rate. The higher the number of people that test positive out of 100% of the sample, the faster the disease is spreading. This is a way to rule out reporting errors due to an increase or decrease of testing.
Also, increased hospitalisations always follow a new spike. Then more deaths- even with better treatment.
SHsharkbok
Captain23,205 posts
SHsharkbokCaptain23,205 posts
30 Oct 2020, 06:03#6
https://covidtracking.com/data
SHsharkbok
Captain23,205 posts
SHsharkbokCaptain23,205 posts
06 Nov 2020, 17:43#11
The winter season has caused EU to lose control of the virus. However, the 2nd wave lockdown has just started in the UK yesterday. It is a short lockdown.
Biden will follow a similar approach- shorter lockdowns until the vaccine is ready.
SHsharkbok
Captain23,205 posts
SHsharkbokCaptain23,205 posts
11 Nov 2020, 17:22#16
The UK ranks as one of the top worst countries in dealing with Covid, however, the US will forever hold the mantle.
140,000 cases yesterday in the US. Beating by far the worst week on record, with most days beating legacy records. Trump has certainly made the US the great with Covid
The UK has started flattening the curve of the second wave. Meanwhile, the US continues to exponential growth, setting new records each week.
By the time the vaccine arrives, the US will almost have achieved herd immunity.
History will look back at who saved the most lives. Not the countries who's richest 10% got richer during the pandemic.
If you were lying on your back in a hospital dying from Covid, and the doctor says we have a choice between tanking the stock market or saving you....
Doctor: "Sorry, Trump just called in and said the stock market is more important".
MOMozart
Captain49,914 posts
MOMozartCaptain49,914 posts
11 Nov 2020, 18:36#17
If the US had 100000 cases every day for a year that would amount to roughly one in ten people getting the virus. If the death rate is 0.5% that amounts to one in 2000 people dying. But the average time to live for a Covid victim is probably less than 5% of a life.
So at the current rate we are losing 1 in 40000 life years.
Meanwhile Europe is losing the equivalent of a trillion dollars through lockdowns....which if a million dollars conservatively buys a life.....equals a million lives.
Yes it’s a fatalistic way of looking at the problem but the European approach is costing far more life years.
SHsharkbok
Captain23,205 posts
SHsharkbokCaptain23,205 posts
14 Nov 2020, 00:49#18
163,000 cases today in the US. The winter season hit the EU first, and then the US.
More than double 2 weeks ago. Exponential growth- just like in Europe.
Since Covid has started- the speed at which it is growing now is faster than at any time.
Just like it hit the EU first at the end of winter this year, then the US, the virus suddenly just explodes out of control.
All the protests, marches and political events are surely making it worse in the US.
SHsharkbok
Captain23,205 posts
SHsharkbokCaptain23,205 posts
14 Nov 2020, 14:18#23
US Covid increases to 180,000 cases in one day yesterday.
The lower death rate is because it takes time for deaths to catch up within the % increase of new cases.
Deaths are already back to near 1.5K per day.
A big increase from October which was much lower.
Unfortunately, deaths will reach 2K per day within 2 weeks.Given the improvement in treatment now, this shows that more people have it now than back in April.
SHsharkbok
Captain23,205 posts
SHsharkbokCaptain23,205 posts
26 Nov 2020, 13:19#27
The US deaths are now over 2000 per day, with yesterday on 2300. Getting close to as bad as it has ever been.
The more people that get Covid, the more people die. It just takes 2-3 weeks or so - for reported deaths to catch up with increasing infections.
It goes to show that treatment for Covid has not actually improved much, other than the steroid dexamethasone which was proven to work in the UK.
The vaccines need to be approved ASAP.
STStavanger1
Pro4,532 posts
26 Nov 2020, 18:38#29
The death rate here in Ireland in the second wave is 90% lower than the first wave. We are in the 5th week of a 6 week lock down and are expected to re-open on December 3rd though there will be still restrictions. The general feeling here is that we will be going in and out of lock downs to varying degrees until a vaccine is rolled out.
SHsharkbok
Captain23,205 posts
SHsharkbokCaptain23,205 posts
04 Dec 2020, 01:19#31
US recorded its worst number of Covid deaths yesterday, 2885.
Cases were around nearly 200,000 yesterday, meaning deaths will surpass 3000 in one day- if a vaccine is not approved very soon.
The US has 2 vaccines ready to go. (including the German company Biotech). 95% efficiency. The UK has already approved Biotech/Fitzer - will roll out starting next week.
However, the US has purchased the most.
The Oxford vaccine results have not nearly been as good, with 70% efficiency.
Also, screw up with dosages appears to have shown lower dosages are more effective. (the 1st one, with a second in 4 weeks). This is buggered up the validity of the testing phase- at least in part.
We are at the peak of the wave now, their is light at the end of the tunnel.
SHsharkbok
Captain23,205 posts
SHsharkbokCaptain23,205 posts
13 Dec 2020, 19:21#34
Trump just announced he is entering in the 2024 election, and his running partner for VP is Covid. Trumps hopes to capitalise on the false media attention that Covid has been able to gain in 2020.