The states the Tr umpet all won are traditional democratic states - with the possible exception of Pensylvania. He has now got 950 out of the 1237 required leaving him to win another 287 delegates required from the 500 available.
The following states still needs to elect 500 delegates:-
Indiana - 57 *Nebraska - 36West Virginia - 34Oregon - 28Washington - 44Montana - 27 California - 172New Jersey - 51 *New Mexico - 24South Dakota - 29 *
* Winner takes all states
Other than California and New Jersey - the above are all states where Trump has been weakish and the following delegate count is likely to go to him:-
Nebraska - 12West Virginia - 17Oregon - 13Washington - 18Montana - 8California - 100New Jersey - 51New Mexico - 10
The above is based on present opinion polls and is given as the maximum number of delegates the empty Trumpet is likely to get with the numbers being for him being on the optimistic side.
That leaves him with 229 extra delegates - in other words still 58 short of the required delegates. There are uncommitted delegates - but they are unlikely to go to the more establishment orientated candidates and not the democratic con-artist. That will lead to a situation where the Republican Party at their Convention will be deadlocked and there will be no candidate selected in the first round of election of the RP candidate, Once that is finished the delegates will in most cases will be free to vote for a candidate of their choice and it will mean that the Tr umpet will not be given a second chance.
I still think the RP will come up with a campaign of Cruz as presidential candidate and Kasich as vice-presidential candidate for the November presidential election. It is clear that Clinton will be the DP candidate - and the opinion polls indicates a close race between her and Cruz - with the Tr umpet being a far bigger loser against Clinton. That is going to be a serious consideration by the RP.
Coach57,555 posts
27 Apr 2016, 06:58
#1
27 Apr 2016, 06:58#1