US House of Representative Elections - 2018 election

In the mid=term election in 2018 about 92 000 000 votes were cast in the election.   Bearing in mind that in the 2016 election there were more or less 126 000 000 votes casted.    That means that  mire of less 34 000 000 voters did not vote in the mid=term election

It is fairly normal that the Party holding the Presidency lose seats in the mid-term election and it happens fairly regularly.  The reason  is that the minority party works very hard while the leading party is more complacent.   

Senate

In the 2018 election the Republicans were  more worried about what will happen in the Senate and concentrated more on the Senate Races where the Republicans held 52 seats and the Democrats 48.

In the Senatorial elections the Republicans gained 4 seats previously held by the Democrats and lost two seats previously held by Republicans.   So in the end there are 54 seats held by the Republicans and 46 held by Democrats 

In 2020 there are 33 seats up for election of which the parties hold the following seats:-

Republicans    -    22

Democrats      -    11

Of the above seats 19 Republican Seats are strongly republican and 3 are in  States that voted republican with large majorities of between 5 and 10%.   

Of the 11 Democrat seats 3 are in states won by Trump in 2016 and one is marginal at best.

That means that the Republicans can gain up to 4 seats in the Senate in 2020 and retain all the seats they ho;d at present.

House of Representatives       

In the 2018 election the  Democratic Party won in 35 seats held previously held by Republicans.   Of these about half of t hose seats were won by margins of less than 8 000 votes and is marginal.    If the result is seen in the context of the noprmal General election turnout to be expected the chances are that there will be a swing to the Republican party in at least 28 of the seats the Democrats won in 2018.        

As things stand now Trump will win by a bigger margin and the GOP will retain the House and Senate. 

America is not going to vote in communists just yet. The Demorats support infanticide, open borders, higher taxes, green new deal, Medicare for all, transgenderism etc etc and quite frankly are stark raving bonkers. 

Imagine, sleepy, creepy Joe Biden is their leading candidate. He represents the disastrous Hussein Obummer years. By the time his own crimes,, the crimes of his son and of course the crimes of the coup plotters (of which Joe is one ) come out - well its hard to see Joe going anywhere but to prison.

Bernie is an out and out communist nutcase and would get slaughtered. These to nutters are their two leading candidates.

Then you get fake Mexican Beto O'rourke, Fake Indian Pocahontas Warren or how about Buttigieg and his husband.

Frankly their list of candidates are a freak show!

Wonder what the good Dr Moz thinks. 

Beeno

Yet the opinion polls indicate that Biden will win easily and most of the other potential candidates will also win with ease.   It is clear how the opinion poll system actually works.    The pollsters  target a number of people that would give them the desired result  they wish for and said that represent all components of the population.

They do not want to get real results from their polls and they keep shouting outcomes hoping to create a situation where voters think - why bother to go and vote, the opposition is so far ahead in the polls that they would win anyway,   

The polls in the US presidential election and in the Brexit referendum were at least 10% out and the pollsters afterwards claimed  that they did not predict the correct situation because more White Blue Collar workers - marginalized for decades by both the Democrats and the Republicans turned up to vote than expected.           

The fact is that the Democrats are now claiming that it was Obama and Biden that caused the present economic growth scenario.   However, it is highly unlikely the Blue collar workers will buy into it and even the New York Times claims that the Democrats will lose in the 2020 election,

That is sending the  Democrats into panic mode and what they come up now is getting them in trouble more and more.   They are panicking badly because the documents indicating White House involvement in the  Russian Hoax scandal is going to cause havoc for them and their members.  It is bound to be the biggest political scandal ever in the USA history being exposed, 

I think their recent tactics is problematic for them - they have NO coherent policies on anything and the result is they are really becoming more and more irrelevant,   Their only weapon is to keep up personal attacks on Trump and some  Republicans and it is unlikely they would be able to find anything which Mueller and other investigations have missed.   There present approach can get in total disarray sooner rather than later.

Trump is in fact goading them into starting impeachment proceedings against him - that would open up the release of further documents that could land some of their leaders in jail.