Some story - The Russians invaded Ukraine using 125 000 troops and of
those according to CF and the media lost 70 000 men. So Ukraine is
wnning the war - where on earth did the 70 000 c casualty figure comes
from?
Ukrainian estimates, as well as British and American estimates. I've also seen some reports that there estimates have gone up to 80,000. A independent Russian media project iStories has the causalities at 90,000 for the Russians.
Moscow itself has only admitted to 5,397 deaths. BBC Russia as well as a Mediazona another independent Russian source have confirmed 8,294 by checking deaths reported by relatives in regional new and reports from local authorities within Russian.
According to the Russian's Ukraine has taken over 100,000 causalities.
I don't believe either side's numbers. Both are likely over inflating the numbers for propaganda reasons and there is likely genuine but not deliberate over counting of enemy losses has occurred in virtually every conflict in recent history due to the chaotic nature of warfare.
My own personal view is both sides have taken significant losses, that proportionally to the size of the two sides involved are roughly equal, with maybe Ukraine doing a little better.
Ignoring all the issues the Russia forces have with logistics's, corruption, leadership etc, fundamentally the Russian invasion force was simply too small to end up fighting a war on the scale it found itself having to fight. The assumption must of been the Ukranian's forces would not fight and for the most part flee.
The Ukranian's hit the mobilization button on day 1, so now they enjoy the manpower advantage. The expectation is that Russia's mobilization won't significantly improve Russia's position in the short term with numerous reports of problems with the mobilized troops such as low morale, equipment shortages and cases of troops being deployed to the front line with no training what so ever. They might regain offensive ability next year but for now momentum is with Ukraine with them pressing offensives (albeit gaining ground slowly) in both the north and south of Ukraine, with a strong likelihood they will retake Kherson in the next few weeks. Only in the central zone in the Donetsk and the town of Bakhmut are the Russian's making even limited gains and those gains are coming from Wagner units not the Russian Army. Russia's drone campaign against Ukrainian critical infrastructure (which is a war crime) is succeeding in overwhelming Ukrainian air defenses and crippling Ukraine's electric grid and water systems but the Ukrainian population show no signs of breaking and the campaign is having no effect on the the Ukrainian military in the field.
So Ukrainan has the upper hand at this moment in time but that doesn't mean they will win the war or liberate all of Ukraine. All I would predict for the remaining of this year is they will retake Kherson, and push Russia to the east bank of the Dnieper river and they might take Svatove in the north. The Russian's might be able to take Bakhmut. But none of that wins the war outright for either side. I don't know what will happen after that.